DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

DraftKings Plays for Week 13: Sponsored by FantasyLabs

Designed to give you our best advice for taking down the DraftKings Millionaire Maker, the Play of the Week contest pits writer against writer using FantasyLabs great tools – TrendsPlus/MinusVegas Lines, and more.

FantasyLabs offers a great selection of daily fantasy and sports analytics tools. Sign up for a FantasyLabs NFL account to get access to all other sports for free.

Check out the introduction for the nuts and bolts of how this works. The basic idea is that our analysts are going to do their best to recommend lightly-owned players who could smash their expected fantasy points in Week 13. The goal? To help you take down a GPP. To make sure we are well incentivized, the analyst with the best score each week wins a handsome cash prize.

WEEK 12 REVIEW

Before we look at our Week 12 DraftKings plays of the week, let’s review our Week 12 recommendations.

Analyst QB RB WR TE DEF Score
Devin McIntyre 1.31 -2.12 33.69 4.12 -3.40 33.60
Matt Wispe 4.33 19.13 3.93 1.46 4.64 33.48
Drew Heinl 4.33 1.36 10.99 5.71 4.64 27.02
RotoDoc -1.37 -14.64 33.69 8.66 -3.40 22.94
Tod Burros 4.33 9.93 -10.50 5.71 9.16 18.63
Scott Smith 1.31 9.93 9.02 1.46 -3.40 18.32
Ryan Bobbitt -7.25 -2.12 10.99 5.71 9.16 16.49
Heith Krueger -1.37 -2.12 5.62 4.51 9.16 15.80
John Lapinski 4.33 -2.12 7.40 4.12 2.02 15.74
Josh ADHD 3.49 -9.11 2.53 8.66 9.16 14.73
George Fitopoulos 4.33 9.93 -10.17 -0.96 2.02 5.14
Joe Paeno -8.14 5.55 0.42 -5.09 9.16 1.91
Colm Kelly -8.14 9.93 -2.29 4.51 -4.44 -0.42
Dave Caban 4.33 -2.15 -6.97 -6.07 3.64 -7.22
Blair Andrews 1.73 0.59 -5.21 -1.58 -4.44 -8.92
Jacob Rickrode -1.37 9.93 -3.55 -8.91 -5.11 -9.01
Anthony Amico -7.25 1.09 -10.17 4.51 -3.39 -15.22
Hasan Rahim 4.33 0.59 -10.17 -9.22 -4.44 -18.92
Pat James -7.25 -14.64 -10.17 -9.22 -4.44 -45.72

Congrats to Devin McIntyre, who added over 33 points to DK lineups with his recommendations. Matt Wispe was oh, so close. In all, nine different analysts gave you double-digit point-adding recommendations last week. Let’s see what they recommend this week.

Week 13 DraftKings Plays of the Week

Your Name QB RB WR TE DEF
Anthony Amico Mitch Trubisky Marshawn Lynch Dontrelle Inman Hunter Henry Oakland Defense
Ben Bauer Mitch Trubisky Danny Woodhead Deandre Hopkins Cameron Brate LA Chargers Defense
Ben Gretch Trevor Siemian Carlos Hyde Emmanuel Sanders C.J. Fiedorowicz LA Rams Defense
Blair Andrews DeShone Kizer Duke Johnson Mike Wallace Ben Watson San Francisco Defense
Brian Malone Jameis Winston Carlos Hyde DeSean Jackson Austin Seferian-Jenkins Jacksonville Defense
Colm Kelly Brett Hundley Carlos Hyde Davante Adams Hunter Henry Tennessee Defense
Dave Caban Derek Carr Carlos Hyde Robby Anderson Hunter Henry Denver Defense
Devin McIntyre Drew Brees Jamaal Williams Michael Thomas C.J. Fiedorowicz LA Chargers Defense
Drew Heinl Josh McCown Jamaal Williams Dede Westbrook C.J. Fiedorowicz LA Chargers Defense
Eric Braun Deshone Kizer Jamaal Williams Stefon Diggs Ricky Seals-Jones Chicago Defense
Hasan Rahim Blaine Gabbert Carlos Hyde Michael Thomas Austin Hooper Tennessee Defense
Heith Krueger Jared Goff Marshawn Lynch Jermaine Kearse Hunter Henry LA Rams Defense
Jacob Rickrode Trevor Siemian Kareem Hunt Jordy Nelson Julius Thomas Oakland Defense
Joe Paeno Drew Brees Jamaal Williams Seth Roberts Kyle Rudolph Baltimore Defense
John Lapinski Brett Hundley Todd Gurley Michael Thomas OJ Howard New Orleans Defense
Josh ADHD Cam Newton LeSean McCoy Golden Tate Rob Gronkowski LA Chargers Defense
Matt Wispe Josh McCown Alex Collins Brandin Cooks Austin Hooper LA Chargers Defense
Pat James Philip Rivers Dion Lewis Keenan Allen Hunter Henry LA Chargers Defense
Ryan Bobbitt Blake Bortles Kenyan Drake Stefon Diggs Austin Hooper Tennessee Defense
Tod Burros Derek Carr Alex Collins Seth Roberts Cameron Brate Oakland Defense

Commentary

Anthony Amico – According to the Fantasy LabsTrends Tool, home RBs against the Giants have an average Plus/Minus of 3.65 if we exclude C.J. Anderson. In three games where the Raiders have won by more than a field goal this season, Marshawn Lynch has averaged 18.67 carries and 14.07 PPR points. Both Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper are expected to miss this game against the Giants, leaving Lynch as the primary option inside the five-yard line.

Ben BauerMitchell Trubisky is tied for second-most pro trends on FantasyLabs and a 0-1 percent projected ownership.

Ben Gretch – C.J. Fiedorowicz has averaged a snap share over 90 percent in three games since returning from IR and has games of six and eight targets in that span. FantasyLabs gives him the second-highest Projected Plus/Minus among TEs on the main slate, largely due to his bargain basement price.

Blair Andrews – Fantasy Twitter is all abuzz with Josh Gordon love, and rightly so. But if Gordon gets his standard 200 receiving yards and two touchdowns, chances are good that Kizer has a decent game as well. Before you tune out in disgust, note that Kizer has rushed for a TD in three of the last four games, and he enters Week 13 with the fourth-highest FantasyLabs projected ceiling on the slate and a 93 percent DraftKings Bargain Rating. Stacking him with Duke Johnson won’t be too popular either.

Brian MaloneAustin Seferian-Jenkins ranks fourth in projected Plus/Minus, and FantasyLabs predicts 0-1 percent ownership. He’s getting plenty of targets. Eventually, he’ll score a TD that doesn’t get overturned.

Colm KellyHunter Henry has a prime matchup. The Browns have allowed the third-most fantasy points to tight ends. Henry has been up and down, and his floor has been non-existent, but this sets up to be a great play. On FantasyLabs, he has the third-highest projected ceiling with the 10th-highest salary.

Dave Caban – FantasyLabs projects Derek Carr with an ownership of less than one percent. However, he carries a significant ceiling into his matchup with the Giants. Further, he has a bargain rating of 80 percent and one of the best opponent Plus/Minus ratings of the week.

Devin McIntyre – Fiedorowicz played a season-high 96 percent of snaps last week and was targeted eight times, but his price remains a rock-bottom $2,800. FantasyLabs gives him the second-highest projected Plus/Minus at TE on the slate.

Drew HeinlDede Westbrook has 16 targets over the past two games with 10 coming in his last game. He gets to face a Colts defense that has struggled all year and has a low salary.

Eric Braun – Kizer seems like the best of the cheap QBs to have a chance to hit 20-plus points. FantasyLabs projects him with the highest ceiling among the $4,500 QBs. I like his chances to return value likely late in the game.

Hasan Rahim – Per FantasyLabs, Austin Hooper boasts one of the highest ceilings among TEs and has a projected Plus/Minus rating of 1.41. Given Hooper’s 82 percent bargain rating and low ownership forecast (two to four percent), he could vault your team up the leaderboard if he comes close to hitting his ceiling.

Heith Krueger – Last week Robby Anderson performed above expectations, received a big price bump, and is expected to pull in a good amount of ownership this weekend. This is why I am recommending Jermaine Kearse. He has the same great matchup against the Kansas City Chiefs, costs $2,000 less on Draftkings, is expected to be below 1 percent on FantasyLabs, and represents a top-12 value at the position in Jonathan Bales’ GPP model.

Jacob Rickrode – On this week’s FantasyLabs Daily Flex Podcast, Matthew Freedman suggested Jordy Nelson. Nelson has averaged six targets per game with Hundley and could be a low-owned contrarian play.

Joe PaenoSeth Roberts is essentially a free square this week. He has the highest Points/$ value and Plus/Minus for the slate according to Fantasy Labs tools. Hopefully, the public chases Jared Cook and keeps Robert’s ownership at bay.

John LapinskiCameron Brate will play, but he’s nicked up, and O.J. Howard comes in slightly cheaper and with a low projected ownership. Though Howard doesn’t have a great projection on FantasyLabs, his 98 percent bargain rating makes him a good, cheap tournament play on DraftKings.

Josh ADHD – Golden Tate offers an interesting opportunity at projected 2-4 percent ownership . Baltimore is tough vs. WR, but I believe Tate will draw the more favorable matchup compared to Marvin Jones Jr. A double-digit target game for Tate is well in sight.

Matt Wispe – According to the FantasyLabs models tool, Brandin Cooks has the highest projection and fourth-highest projected Plus/Minus. Additionally, the Buffalo defense allows an average Plus/Minus of 0.3 to opposing WRs.

Pat James – FantasyLabs projects Dion Lewis for at most eight percent ownership. If that’s the case, I’ll be heavily overweight on him in GPPs. Lewis has exceeded expected points in his last four games and now gets a Bills defense that has been gashed since losing Marcell Dareus.

Ryan Bobbitt – Hooper is Levitan’s highest-rated TE and Caban’s projections identified him as a viable streamer. At less than 5 percent ownership, Hooper is a nice GPP pivot.

Tod Burros – Most of my choices using FantasyLabs ownership projections are contrarian, but Derek Carr I think will be way off the radar with his top WR out.

Frequency Table

QB COUNT RB COUNT WR COUNT TE COUNT DEF COUNT
Brett Hundley 2 Carlos Hyde 5 Michael Thomas 3 Hunter Henry 5 LA Chargers Defense 6
Derek Carr 2 Jamaal Williams 4 Seth Roberts 2 Austin Hooper 3 Oakland Defense 3
DeShone Kizer 2 Alex Collins 2 Stefon Diggs 2 C.J. Fiedorowicz 3 Tennessee Defense 3
Drew Brees 2 Marshawn Lynch 2 Brandin Cooks 1 Cameron Brate 2 LA Rams Defense 2
Josh McCown 2 Danny Woodhead 1 Davante Adams 1 Austin Seferian-Jenkins 1 Baltimore Defense 1
Mitch Trubisky 2 Dion Lewis 1 Deandre Hopkins 1 Ben Watson 1 Chicago Defense 1
Trevor Siemian 2 Duke Johnson 1 Dede Westbrook 1 Julius Thomas 1 Denver Defense 1
Blaine Gabbert 1 Kareem Hunt 1 DeSean Jackson 1 Kyle Rudolph 1 Jacksonville Defense 1
Blake Bortles 1 Kenyan Drake 1 Dontrelle Inman 1 OJ Howard 1 New Orleans Defense 1
Jameis Winston 1 Todd Gurley 1 Emmanuel Sanders 1 Ricky Seals-Jones 1 San Francisco Defense 1
Jared Goff 1  LeSean McCoy  1 Jermaine Kearse 1  Rob Gronkowski  1
Philip Rivers 1 Jordy Nelson 1
Cam Newton  1 Keenan Allen 1
Mike Wallace 1
Robby Anderson

 

Golden Tate

1

 

1

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @Spidr2ybanana | Archive

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