Week 9 Fantasy Projections: Sneaky Plays in Mack and Hurns

The RotoViz Game Level Similarity Projections help you make lineup decisions using historical matchups as your guide. Week 9 is upon us, and it’s time to make start/sit and roster management decisions. Earlier in the week, we looked at preliminary GLSP projections derived from a model I pulled together. Let’s compare and contrast these results with the GLSP projections calculated by the RotoViz apps and identify players with a surprising range of outcomes. As a reminder, GLSP projections are agnostic of a player’s situation, health, and external factors. They are compiled through the use of historical data to identify matchups between comparable players and defenses. How have running backs similar to Alex Collins fared against defenses similar to the Titans? These are the types of questions that GLSP attempts to answer. GLSP projections rely solely on historical data.

How’d We Do Last Week?

My quarterback selections yielded mixed results. Tyrod Taylor was solid, scoring 17 points and finishing as a starter. However, Deshaun Watson remained historic, scoring 32 points and exceeding expectations. I did better at running back. Joe Mixon managed to finish as a starter and the Panthers held Doug Martin under nine points. While Tyreek Hill did struggle as the week’s WR56, Nelson Agholor failed to impress. He scored just five and a half points, his low-end outcome. Fortunately, my Tyler Kroft call panned out. The GLSP forecasted a median outcome of 11 points. Kroft scored 10 and finished as a starter. George Kittle was expected to struggle and scored just four points.    

Week 9 Fantasy Projections

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive