Week 10 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Advice
Fantasy football waiver wire advice for Week 10 of the 2017 season.
The waiver wire has become the most important component of a championship winning fantasy football team.
The parameters and assumptions of this weekly waiver wire advice column can be found in the preseason introduction. I am filling in for Charles Kleinheksel, the RotoViz Director of Special Projects, in writing this week’s column. Let’s see what we can scrounge up for Week 10 waiver wire advice.
WEEK 10 WAIVER WIRE ADVICE
Percent of ESPN leagues where the player is available is in parentheses. Players are listed in the order I prefer them, but that may not apply to your league settings. Hit me up in the comments, Message Boards, or better yet on Twitter (@EricNMoody) for more specific advice.
In the midst of chaos, there is also an opportunity. This philosophy from Sun-Tzu’s The Art of War applies directly to fantasy football. This week’s waiver wire promises to be very interesting as we continue to march toward the fantasy playoffs. Before I provide you a line of sight of players to target, here are a few general thoughts:
- The type of players you bid on should depend on your roster. If your playoff chances are slim, you should probably swing for the fences on the players with the highest potential upside and hope they hit. If your playoff chances are rock solid, you have more flexibility, but can content yourself with the pursuit of a cheap, low-volatility, but limited-upside, player to serve as a bye week filler or bench depth.
- How much you spend is also variable. If you must win Week 10, then you should spend as much as you need to accomplish that. It doesn’t matter if you have money left in Week 11 if you have been eliminated from the playoffs. But if you are cruising to the playoffs, then you can be more conservative with your spending.
- There are a number of intriguing players available on waivers this week, so whatever your situation, keep that in mind. You can get probably guys with a similar range of outcomes at a variety of price points, so try to structure your waiver bids accordingly. Rather than bidding top dollar for a single player, maybe make several decent bids on a few similar players and hope to land one.
Is Dion Lewis (36.3 percent) available in your league? It amazes me that he is available in such a high percentage of leagues. Lewis has led the Patriots backfield in touches over the last three weeks with 39. He is also being leveraged as a runner in between the tackles in the red zone. Lewis only played 35 percent of the offensive snaps in Week 8 but touched the football or was targeted on 57 percent of them. Lewis can be viewed as a high-end RB3. I also recommend you pick up Rex Burkhead (8.4 percent). He is healthy and had seven catches for 68 yards in Week 8.
Are you not entertained? I imagine Matt Forte (55.9 percent) asking fantasy players that question. He is being used as a runner and a receiver and shows no ill effects of his early season toe injury. Forte led the Jets in touches and yards from scrimmage in Week 9. He played 48 percent of the offensive snaps and touched the football or was targeted on 56 percent of them. Forte is currently the RB21 in PPR formats and can be viewed as a mid-range RB2.
One bright spot from the Giants’ Week 9 annihilation by the Rams was Orleans Darkwa (41.3). He produced 79 total yards on 18 touches. Darkwa has out-touched Wayne Gallman in three straight games. He can be viewed as an RB3 with upside in Week 10 against a 49ers defense allowing the most fantasy points per game to RBs.
Thomas Rawls (15.3 percent) could seize the opportunity on Thursday Night Football against the Cardinals after Eddie Lacy’s groin injury. He averaged 4.3 yards per carry on nine attempts and should be rostered in most formats.
Javorius Allen‘s (70.2 percent) reign as the receiving back with the Ravens could end once Danny Woodhead returns after the bye, but given Woodhead’s injury history it may be prudent to stash Allen if you have the roster space.
Could Peyton Barber (0 percent) push Doug Martin for carries? It is not out of the realm of possibilities. Barber played a season-high 23 snaps, but a high percentage of his 13 touches came when the game was out of reach. He is the preferred the handcuff to Martin.
Devontae Booker (5.5 percent) is someone to stash in deeper formats and only played one fewer snap than C.J. Anderson against the Eagles. This investment may take a few more weeks to pay off. Corey Clement (0.8 percent) is another RB to stash in deeper formats but is ultimately part of a committee and would need numerous injuries to see a consistent workload. I would also provide a gentle reminder that James Conner is the backup to Le’Veon Bell. The Steelers should continue to lean heavily on the running game, and Bell’s fragility is well documented.
Corey Davis (32.5 percent) played 75 percent of the offensive snaps for the Titans in his return. It is only a matter of time before he emerges as the team’s No. 1 WR. Robby Anderson (45.6 percent) has developed a great rapport with quarterback Josh McCown and is firmly on the WR3 radar.
Josh Doctson (26.9 percent) has scored three touchdowns on 22 targets. He played 89 percent of the offensive snaps against the Seahawks in Week 9, and his role in the offense should continue to increase.
If Cooper Kupp (48.6 percent), Marqise Lee (34.7 percent), or Robert Woods (26.1 percent) happen to be available in your league I would pick them up. All three are on the WR3 radar in most formats.
Phillip Dorsett (0.5 percent) is in a prime position to contribute if Chris Hogan misses an extended period of time. He is a WR to target in deeper formats.
What can we expect from Zay Jones (10.8 percent) moving forward? He suffered a knee injury which could limit his practice participation this week. Jones should be owned in deeper formats and given the Bills upcoming schedule could provide a nice return on your investment.
Now is also a perfect time to stash Corey Coleman (7.5 percent). He is eligible to return to the fold in Week 11, and the Browns are in desperate need of a No. 1 WR.
If Greg Olsen (44 percent) was dropped in your league this is a great week to stash him if you have the roster space. He could return around Week 12 or 13.
Jared Cook (75 percent) should also be owned in all formats after having his second 100-yard receiving game in three weeks. He has very favorable matchups after the Raiders bye week (Patriots, Broncos, and Giants). All of these defenses allow a high number of fantasy points per game to the TE position.
Charles Clay (20.9 percent) could return as early as Week 11 or 12. He has more competition for targets, but the Bills upcoming schedule is too enticing to pass up.
Vernon Davis (64.7 percent) continues to be on the TE1 radar anytime Jordan Reed misses games. He has averaged 5.2 targets, 3.8 receptions, and 56 receiving yards per game over the last four.
Ben Watson (17.2 percent) and Julius Thomas (10.0 percent) could help you in deeper formats. Watson had a season-high 10 targets against the Titans, but this was likely a result of Joe Flacco‘s season-high 52 pass attempts. He has only averaged 24.3 receiving yards over the last seven games. Thomas caught six of his eight targets for 84 receiving yards and a TD. This could be a sign of things to come and it is worth looking into in deeper formats. Watson, Davis, Cook, and Thomas had a significant number of air yards last week.
You should be proactive and not reactive when it comes to attacking the waiver wire. What did you find most useful? Feel free to leave a comment below or reach out to me on Twitter where my motto is: No Fantasy Football Question Left Unanswered.