NBA DFS Slate Strategy- November 6, 2017

Monday is a short slate with some interesting matchups, but finding an edge requires us to dive into Vegas, as well as advanced analytics to try and find leverage.

Boston Celtics v Atlanta Hawks

Total: 204

Spread: Boston -8

Bos Pace ‘17:  98.3 (26)

ATL Pace ‘17: 103.1 (7)

Bos DefEff ’17: 94.7 (1)

ATL DefEff ‘16: 106.6 (23)

It’s tempting to attack a Boston squad which will see a positive pace differential against an opponent playing a back-to-back who ranks 23rd in the league in defensive efficiency, but I have some concerns. While Boston seems to be in a “no-brainer” plus matchup, elevated prices may hurt some of their appeal, especially with looming risk of a blowout. In their last three games, minutes have been limited for starters with blowouts against the Magic and Kings. The Hawks profile similarly, and Boston’s elite defense should pose a problem for Atlanta’s scorers.

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By Sean Kane | @@heymrkane | Archive