DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

FanDuel NFL Cash Plays – Week 10

The Fantasy Football Ghost unveils his plan for FanDuel NFL Cash play dominance in Week 10! 

Injuries played a huge role in how last week’s article performed. Before the week even kicked off Deshaun Watson and Zach Ertz were scratched from the line-up with Watson done for the remainder of the year with an ACL tear. As if that wasn’t bad enough, Dez Bryant couldn’t finish his game due to an injury as well. In spite of all of these issues, I still delivered to you players who averaged 1.59 times their value. While it’s not optimal, I’ll grant you that, given the fact that injuries took the top two plays off my board, I’ll take it. Hopefully the following eight players find their way on to the field this week for big gains.

FanDuel Cash Plays for Week 9

Quarterbacks

Josh McCown – $7,400

Well, I’ll admit it, I feel pretty weird suggesting Josh McCown as a cash play. It isn’t like he’s been crushing the NFL with one high scoring game after another, but his opponent, Tampa Bay, hasn’t been stopping quarterbacks very well either. The Buccaneers are giving up the seventh-most FanDuel points to opposing quarterbacks, giving up an average of 19.5 points per game. One need look no further than McCown’s $7,400 price tag to see a lot of potential here. However, when you add in the fact that Tampa Bay has the second-worst defensive DVOA in the NFL against the pass, and you can see how this low-priced play could work out very well.

Furthermore, the Buccaneers are giving up the third-most passing yards in the league, have the second-highest success rate against, and allow the fifth-highest quarterback rating. Finally, Tampa Bay will be without Jameis Winston and Mike Evans on the offensive side of the ball, significantly impacting their ability to keep their defense off the field. McCown has a prime opportunity here with a very affordable price tag.

Jared Goff – $8,200

The good thing about playing Jared Goff is that his performance last week isn’t adequately factored into his price tag. After a 51-17 dismantling of the New York Giants, Goff’s cost should be much higher than $8,200. Moreover, Houston is still reeling after losing the heart of their team and come into the game as 12-point underdogs, the biggest spread of the week. The Texans are giving up 20.3 FanDuel points per game to opposing QBs, the third-highest total in the league. Houston’s 2.0 passing TDs allowed also rank as the third-highest total. Opposing passers have a QB Rating of 99.2 against the Texans, the seventh-highest in the league. Look for Goff to continue his hot streak.

Giana Pacinelli features McCown and Goff in her Week 10 Streaming column and dives into their Game Level Similarity Projections.

Running Backs

Le’Veon Bell – $9,400

This is the first time I’ve featured Le’Veon Bell in this column and ten weeks is simply too long for such an incredible player. The Colts might have won last week but as ten-point underdogs, no one is expecting them to build on that momentum. Bell will face an Indianapolis defense that is allowing 23.8 FanDuel points to running backs, the third most in the league. Additionally, the Colts are giving up an average of 1.1 rushing TDs, most in the NFL. Dave Caban’s Early GLSP Projections also have Bell as the third-highest RB scorer, well worth the price you need to pay up to roster him.

C.J. Anderson – $6,200

New England has been very kind to RBs this season, so come on down C.J. Anderson, your price is right! The Patriots have the seventh-worst defensive DVOA against the rush and the third-worst defensive DVOA against RBs through the air. They allow an average of 7.5 targets to the position per game for 60.7 receiving yards. New England is allowing 121.5 rushing yards per game, the eight most in the NFL. They also stuff the fewest rushes, give up the seventh-most second level yards, and allow the fourth-most open field yards. Meanwhile, Denver’s offensive line are stuffed the sixth-lowest amount, while gaining the seventh-most second level rush yards and the eleventh-most open field rushing yards. Anderson could be an excellent value for those looking to pay up at other positions.

For a more skeptical look at Anderson, check out Cort Smith’s Ultimate Zero RB Watch List: Week 10.

Wide Receivers

Demaryius Thomas – $6,800

Demaryius Thomas will face a Patriots defense that isn’t just friendly to RBs, it’s generous to WR1s as well. New England is giving up the second-most FanDuel points in the league to receivers and their defensive DVOA against the position is the third worst of all teams. The Patriots are allowing an average of 7.2 targets to the position with 90.4 receiving yards allowed. Opponents are averaging 295.5 passing yards against New England, the most in the league, and are posting an average of two receiving TDs, the sixth-highest total of all teams. Additionally, 53 percent of all passes to WRs are successful, the fourth-highest rate in the league. Their yards per attempt for the position is 9.1 yards good for second worst. Thomas’ $6,800 price tag is affordable enough to slot in higher caliber players elsewhere while still expecting a significant performance from him.

Robby Anderson – $6,500

Robby Anderson is another affordable receiver in a position to have a great afternoon. It also stands to reason that if Josh McCown is going to perform well, then Anderson will be a primary reason why. As I mentioned earlier, Tampa Bay has a lot of problems on their defense, and now their offense will be severely weakened as well, increasing the time that their defense will be exposed.

The Buccaneers are giving up the third-most FanDuel points to WRs, and their defensive DVOA against WR1s is the eighth worst. Tampa Bay is giving up an average of 10.4 targets to the position and allowing an average of 86.9 receiving yards. Furthermore, 59 percent of all passes thrown to WR1s are successful, the most in the league, while opponents yards per attempt is 8.6 yards, the fourth-highest average. Anderson will see plenty of targets and given the success rate that the Buccaneers are allowing, he should easily double his price tag.

Tight Ends

Eric Ebron – $5,300

Apparently, it’s value week as Eric Ebron isn’t usually a player you’d consider for cash plays, but this week you might want to reconsider him. The Browns are giving up the second-most FanDuel points to opposing TEs and are allowing a league-high average of 10 targets to the position, good for an average of 75.4 receiving yards. Cleveland has also been exploited to the tune of a 58 percent success rate against (third worst). While he might not be the first TE you look to in cash games, his upside is definitely there, at least this week.

Kyle Rudolph – $5,400

Kyle Rudolph’s opponent has been a target of savvy daily players week in and week out as they look for a solid performance at TE. Washington is giving up the fourth-most FanDuel points to the position with an average of 13.7 surrendered per game. They also allow 7.5 targets per game and 79.6 receiving yards to TEs. Washington allows a 56 percent success rate and 9.5 yards per attempt when the TE is targeted, the second-highest average in the league. Meanwhile, Minnesota heavily features their TEs, successfully completing 57 percent of their passes. Rudolph is usually a dependable option on any given week, but this week he should be one of the top performers with a Game Level Similarity Projection of 12.2.

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By The Fantasy Football Ghost | @TheFFGhost | Archive

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