Advice

Early GLSP Projections – Shepard and Kroft Surprise

On a weekly basis, I’ll use Game Level Similarity Projections to find players with surprising ranges of outcomes. Early in the week, I’ll post the results of my personal model with some quick commentary. This will be followed up with an article that compares and contrasts these findings with those of the GLSP Apps on the site. For more information relating to the model, apps, and weekly fantasy application, check out the 2017 GLSP Primer. Through 10 weeks, the “average projections” calculated by the model, when compared to actual results, have an absolute difference of under five and a half points. This is very competitive when measured against subjective projections or those derived through other means. As a result, the “average projections” generated by the model serve as a pretty good proxy for a more traditional projection.

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive

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  1. Matt says:

    @dcaban the Qb chart is for Week 10 games, not week 11.

  2. Thanks. Got the correct link to this week's table in there now.

  3. I don't see Ertz in the TE projections. Am I missing him?

  4. Oh man... seeing Andy Dalton pop as a streamer is kinda crazy @dcaban

    I'm in an upcoming "must win" match-up and Andy is my QB. Now I'm conflicted as conventional wisdom says "oh this will end...badly".

  5. Yeah, I missed Evans as he was originally on bye Week 11. Anyway, he projects with 5, 11, 17 and average of 13.

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