Advice

Week 7 Tight End Streamers

Week 6 was a good week for our tight end streaming suggestions, but it could have been so much better.

If it wasn’t for a ludicrous decision in the Jets/Patriots game, Austin Seferian-Jenkins would have ended Week 6 as the TE2 in PPR scoring, with an eight-catch, two-touchdown game. As it was, he had to satisfy himself with a TE4 finish, not a bad outing for one of our streaming options from last week.

Another of our guys, Zach Miller of the Bears, managed a TE11 finish after his two catches for 25 yards and a score against the Ravens. The third, David Njoku of the Browns…well, he…he…did I mention how well the first two guys played?

Enough of the looking back, as we look forward to Week 7. Only the Lions and the Texans are on byes this week, but most of the TE friendly defenses face heavily-owned players. For example,  Jimmy Graham is locking horns with the Giants, while Washington awaits Zach Ertz on Monday night. That doesn’t mean we can’t find value at the position. Just don’t expect days like Seferian-Jenkins had.

As usual, we are looking at players owned in less than 50 percent of ESPN fantasy leagues. This is why Seferian-Jenkins does not make it in for a third week in a row, as he now finds himself on a home in over 60 percent of leagues. These are not the sexiest options, I freely admit that. But they are all players who have become greater parts of their offenses over the last few weeks. With opportunity being key in reality as well as fantasy, they could offer you something interesting this week. Shall we continue?

Ownership figures correct at time of writing

Ed Dickson (available in 52.8 percent of ESPN leagues)

Ed Dickson is in his fourth season with the Carolina Panthers, and it is perhaps telling that he has amassed 40.3 percent of his total career yards with the team (677) in the last three games (273). However, one cannot argue that he hasn’t been quite effective in relief of Greg Olsen.

ed dickson

In the last three games, which have seen him account for 21 percent of the Panthers total air yards, he is the ninth-most targeted TE in the NFL, has the eighth-most receptions, while no TE has more receiving yards. The image below, taken from the RotoViz AYA App, shows just how efficient a weapon he has been for the Panthers this season.

dickson

The Panthers take on the Bears in Week 7, a quietly impressive defense but one that has provided a steady floor for TEs in recent weeks. On the season, they have allowed the 14th-most fantasy points to TEs, but in the last three games they’ve given up 22 receptions for 133 yards. Using the RotoViz Game Level Similarity Projections, we can see low, median, and high projections.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.1
Median 1.7 2.8 3.8 4.8
High 5.7 6.7 7.7 9.6

Austin Hooper (62.2 percent)

Ever since starting wide receiver Mohamed Sanu suffered a hamstring injury against the Buffalo Bills in Week 4, second-year TE Austin Hooper has emerged as one of the more reliable weapons in the currently misfiring Falcons offense. After exploding for 128 yards in Week 1, Hooper reeled in just three receptions for 16 yards in his next two games. The image below shows how he has done since in the absence of Sanu, factoring in the game that Sanu suffered his injury.

hooper

 

Hooper’s efficiency on a per target basis is evident in the image below. It should be noted of course that he did have an 88-yard touchdown catch and run against the Bears, a score that not doubt bumps the figures up a bit.

austin

In a Super Bowl rematch, the Falcons will be taking on the Patriots this week. New England has struggled to stop anyone, but they’ve been incredibly generous to TEs. They have allowed a TE score in all but one game this season, while TEs have amassed five or more grabs in five of six outings.

Hooper is seeing a 21 percent share of targets in the last three weeks, as well as 20 percent of the air yards. Dave Caban noted that Hooper was a potential GLSP star in his article earlier this week.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.2
Median 8 9 10 11
High 16 18.6 20.6 22.6

 

George Kittle (90.8 percent)

Rookie TE George Kittle has played on at least 87 percent of the 49ers offensive snaps in four of their six games so far this season. He was beginning to emerge as a key part of the offense prior to Week 5 with Brian Hoyer at quarterback, but then Hoyer was yanked by Kyle Shanahan for fellow rookie C.J. Beathard. As the image below shows, the old Iowa connection began to work almost immediately.

kittle

This output bolstered Kittle’s rising fantasy stock, a rise that saw him finish as the overall TE8 in PPR for Weeks 4-6. He was sixth in targets and receptions among TEs, as well as being fourth in receiving yards. In a contest that used to matter, the 49ers take on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 7. While the Cowboys have only allowed one touchdown to a TE this season, that did come in the only game in which they have held opposing TEs to less than 53 receiving yards.

With Beathard confirmed as the starter for this game, his chemistry with Kittle could see a healthy dose of targets coming his way. If star linebacker Sean Lee misses the game, it would be a bigger boost for Kittle. The GLSP seems to like Kittle this week too, as you can see below.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 2.3 3.5 4.5 5.5
Median 3.5 5 6.7 8.6
High 5.5 7.5 9.2 11

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By Neil Dutton | @ndutton13 | Archive

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