Advice

Week 7 Fantasy Football Waiver Wire Advice

Fantasy football waiver wire advice for Week 7 of the 2017 season.

The parameters and assumptions of this weekly waiver wire advice column can be found in the preseason introduction. Let’s see what we can scrounge up for Week 7 waiver wire advice.

WEEK 7 WAIVER WIRE ADVICE

Percent of ESPN leagues where the player is available is in parentheses. Players are listed in the order I prefer them, but that may not apply to your league settings. Hit me up in the comments or on the Message Boards for more specific advice.

Normally I include a recap of last week’s advice but since so many of the names are repeats, this week’s advice will be a little different.

This week, there aren’t any players whose outlook is so good that it transcends your roster needs. By this point in the season, you should know a lot about your roster and probably want to focus on shoring up your weaknesses. In other words, if you have a need at running back, you probably want to target that position, rather than a “maybe he’ll be good” wide receiver.

Think of what follows as a waiver wire smorgasbord: a bunch of options, organized by position. Within each position, players are listed in the order I would prefer them but that might vary based on your specific roster. For parsing value between positions, hit me up in the comments. Scheduling and matchup favorability comments are derived from the Buy Low Machine and are based on year to date performance.

Quarterbacks

Brett Hundley, Green Bay Packers, (100%)

Hundley is almost certain to be the starter for the rest of the season. He has three very good wide receivers, a good tight end, and a pair of good running backs. Short term, he should be forced to pass a lot against the Saints. After that comes a bye. To start the fantasy playoffs in Week 14, he gets the Cleveland Browns, an excellent matchup.

Josh McCown, New York Jets, (90% )

McCown has gone over 15 fantasy points four times and has cleared 17 points three times. He has a great short term schedule (Miami, Atlanta, Buffalo).

C.J. Beathard, San Francisco, (100%)

He’s been named the new starter and has a neutral schedule over his next three games. If he keeps the starting gig into the fantasy playoffs, he starts out with two good matchups in Weeks 14 and 15 against Houston and Tennessee.

Case Keenum, (87%)

Only two of his four starts have been worth more than 15 fantasy points. Sam Bradford and Teddy Bridgewater could both return. Keenum is on the radar as a Week 7 streamer against Cleveland, assuming Bradford is out again, but beyond that Keenum’s prospects are dicey.

Cody Kessler, (100%)

YOLO. DeShone Kizer and Kevin Hogan have combined for 7 TDs and 14 interceptions. Kessler hasn’t been given a chance yet, but it could happen. Whoever starts for Cleveland has a favorable fantasy playoff schedule against Green Bay, Baltimore, and Chicago. Worth a stash in 2QB leagues if you have deep benches.

Running Back

Javorius Allen, (21%)

He’s probably not available — he’s rostered in 79 percent of ESPN leagues — but if he’s available in yours go get him. If he’s rostered, see if you can acquire him cheaply. He has a bottom-five schedule over the next three weeks so he could get dropped or his owner might sour. He’s getting a decent amount of rushing volume and is the clear pass-catching back in Baltimore. His fantasy playoff schedule is one of the best for RBs: Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Indianapolis.

Jerick McKinnon, (24%)

I hate the taste of humble pie. I advocated strongly for Latavius Murray, but it’s becoming clear that McKinnon is the RB to own in this backfield. A potential carousel at QB and a poor playoff schedule are mild strikes against him, but usage is king and right now he’s getting it.

James White, (22%)

He was overshadowed by Dion Lewis in Week 6 but still got seven targets. That’s where his value lies, and so far no other New England back is threatening that work. White has the second-best RB schedule (including Atlanta and the LA Chargers) over the next three weeks and has a top-10 fantasy playoff schedule.

Chris Thompson, (19%)

He’s unlikely to be available but is a must-add if he is. He’s also a worthwhile trade target. Washington has the fourth-toughest RB schedule over the next three weeks but that seems more likely to hurt Samaje Perine than Thompson, who posted his second 100-yard receiving game of the season in Week 6. A tougher schedule than James White but a more secure role.

Tarik Cohen, (28%)

The production has tailed off but the opportunity is still there. Cohen had 14 attempts and three targets in Week 6. As long as that opportunity is there he’s worth having. He has a neutral playoff schedule overall but finishes with a nice matchup (Cincinnati, Detroit, Cleveland).

Adrian Peterson, (19%)

Peterson proved us wrong for one week at least. His schedule over the next three weeks is the best in the NFL for RBs but includes two negative matchups in the three-week fantasy playoff window, and he’s still an old back on a fragile team who might not see such favorable game script for the rest of the season. If you have him, consider selling after another good game or two. If you’re trying to get him, keep his schedule and situation in mind.

Dion Lewis, (93%)

His attempts have increased three weeks in a row, which is a good sign. But he doesn’t have much involvement at all in the passing game. However, New England has the second-best RB schedule over the next three weeks and a top-10 playoff schedule.

D’Onta Foreman, (84%)

In Week 6 he had double-digit rushing attempts for the third time this year, which speaks to the potential for stand-alone value. He has a Week 7 bye, then a date with Seattle, so there’s a chance he goes unclaimed. Definitely worth a stash for the playoffs, where he has a great RB schedule: San Francisco, Jacksonville, and Pittsburgh.

Chris Ivory, (95%)

His receiving outburst in Week 6 was unexpected and probably won’t be repeated. The angle here is Leonard Fournette’s ankle injury. It appears minor, but Fournette has a history of ankle problems. Jacksonville wants to run the ball, and Ivory could get massive usage if Fournette misses time. Jacksonville has two tough games to start the fantasy playoffs but finishes with a cake matchup against San Francisco in Week 16.

Jamaal Charles, (68%)

He saw eight opportunities in Week 6. More importantly, C.J. Anderson had a season low in rushing attempts and earned no pass targets in Week 6. It’s a long shot, but Denver’s fantasy playoffs schedule (NY Jets, Indianapolis, Washington) is top three for RBs.

Latavius Murray, (30%)

Still has some value as a potential goalline back or if McKinnon misses time. Minnesota does have a bottom-five fantasy playoff schedule, which probably hurts Murray more than McKinnon.

Orleans Darkwa, (96%) and Wayne Gallman, (75%)

In Week 6, Darkwa earned 21 attempts to just nine for Gallman. Gallman did have an edge in targets and out-rushed Darkwa just a week ago. This has the looks of a hard-to-predict committee, and the Giants fantasy playoffs schedule (Dallas, Philadelphia, Arizona) is the worst in the NFL for RBs.

Wide Receivers

Robert Woods, (88%)

Woods has gone over 50 yards receiving in four games and has back to back games with five or more receptions. He also has the third-best playoff schedule (Philadelphia, Seattle, Tennessee).

Devin Funchess, (22%)

Over the past four games, Funchess has earned 10, nine, eight, and nine targets. In Weeks 15 and 16 he has favorable matchups against Green Bay and Tampa Bay.

Marqise Lee, (70%)

See basically every prior edition of the 2017 waiver wire report. He has a great matchup against Indianapolis in Week 7, a neutral playoff schedule, and is the team leader at receiver.

Will Fuller, (24%)

What if this is just who he is? Houston has a Week 7 bye, then faces Seattle, so watch to see if Fuller gets dropped (or if you can trade for him). He has a nice matchup to start the fantasy playoffs in Week 14 against San Francisco.

Ted Ginn, (60%)

What if Willie Snead doesn’t re-earn his role? Ginn should still be relatively cheap to acquire, so it’s worth finding out. Ginn has the third-best WR schedule over the next three weeks and gets the Jets and Falcons twice in the playoffs.

Nelson Agholor, (64%)

His targets have increased four weeks running. Philly has the second-worst WR schedule over the next three weeks so you might be able to get him down the road. The playoff schedule is neutral.

Adam Humphries, (98%)

Humphries had seven targets in Week 6 and has five or more in four of Tampa Bay’s games this year. He also has no bye week to worry about. His playoff schedule (Detroit, Atlanta, Carolina) is decent.

Roger Lewis, (76%)

He won’t play against Denver every week. He has Seattle and then a bye over the next two weeks though, so you don’t need to be in a rush to get him. On the other hand, he might be free if you get him soon. After the bye he has a favorable schedule (LA Rams, San Francisco, Kansas City), and has a great close to the fantasy playoffs, facing Philadelphia and Arizona in Weeks 15 and 16.

JuJu Smith-Schuster, (94%)

By now, everyone knows that Martavis Bryant wants a trade. Smith-Schuster hasn’t had more than four targets in a game yet, but he’s arguably looked better than Bryant (or at least more consistent). On the flip side, Pittsburgh has a bottom-three WR schedule over the next three weeks and just a neutral playoff schedule. They might also have a quarterback problem.

Marvin Jones, (37%)

Had a big week, but the game script was unlikely to be repeated, and part of his production can be attributed to the absences of Kenny Golladay (entire game) and Golden Tate (part of the game). Detroit has a bye in Week 7 and the sixth-worst fantasy playoff schedule.

Jermaine Kearse, (49%) and Robby Anderson, (87%)

Miami and Atlanta are good matchups over the next two weeks, but the Jets have the second-worst fantasy playoffs schedule for WRs. Anderson has better air yards and WOPR metrics.

Kenny Stills, (85%)

Worth a look if DeVante Parker misses another week. Miami has the second-best schedule (NY Jets, Baltimore, Oakland) over the next three weeks and a favorable playoff schedule for WRs.

Ricardo Louis, (97%) and Kasen Williams, (100%)

Louis (15) and Williams (11) have been racking up targets over the past two weeks but haven’t done much with them. Their schedule is neutral, and their QB situation is a mess. This is only for the desperate. In fact, the angle here is probably trying to acquire Corey Coleman who should get approximately 27 targets per game if he’s able to return to action.

Chris Moore, (100%)

Earned seven targets in Week 6 and is worth a look if Breshad Perriman or Jeremy Maclin miss time. Has a tough matchup next week against Minnesota but then two good ones against Miami and Tennessee.

Laquon Treadwell, (99%)

Honestly, I’m not interested. I only mention him because he got some attention for a blocking penalty and put up over 50 yards receiving. But he hasn’t had more than three targets in a game, and his Week 6 production came against Green Bay, with both Stefon Diggs and Michael Floyd out of action.

Tight End

Cameron Brate, (22%)

He’s probably not available but I’d try to get him if I can. He has 17 targets over the last two games and a TD in four straight games. He has a neutral schedule over the next three weeks but has one of the best fantasy playoff schedules for TEs: Detroit, Atlanta, and Carolina.

Austin Seferian-Jenkins, (39%)

He’s got 19 targets and two TDs (it should have been three!) over the past two games. His short-term and rest-of-season schedules are generally neutral, but his value is in guaranteed usage. He’s the Jets best offensive weapon.

Ben Watson, (88%)

He has 12 targets in the last two weeks. His schedule over the next three weeks is the ninth best, and his playoffs schedule is the third best.

Hunter Henry, (41%)

He has 15 targets in the past two weeks. After a tough matchup against Denver, he gets the Patriots. His playoffs schedule is also favorable. He’s starting to pull ahead of Antonio Gates in key air yards metrics.

Ryan Griffin, (93%)

He has 12 targets in the past two weeks, so the opportunity is there. But he has a Week 7 bye, then faces Seattle, so you can probably wait to see what your needs are after that.

Ed Dickson, (53%)

He’s getting steady targets but has a bottom-seven schedule over the next three weeks and a negative playoff schedule.

George Kittle, (91%)

17 targets in two weeks is great but has the second-worst schedule over the next three weeks and just a neutral playoffs schedule.

Darren Fells, (99%)

This is really just my weekly lament that Eric Ebron didn’t pan out. But I’m fading Fells, too. He’s got a Week 7 bye and doesn’t offer enough to roster at this time. He’s only cleared 40 yards receiving once, and the TD production seems unsustainable.

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @Spidr2ybanana | Archive

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