Advice

Waiver Wire Dumpster Diving Week 8

Well, Week 7 of the 2017 NFL season was “weird” at best. The Bears won despite completing only four passes. That game pretty much sums up most of Week 7. With six teams on their bye weeks, it’s time to dig even deeper for this week’s Dumpster Dives.

Each week, I look for candidates owned in 10% or less of ESPN leagues

TYLER KROFT (10% OWNED)

I am doubling down on Kroft. But I’m sorry, 10 percent is still too low.

If Tyler Kroft was picked up in your league, he might find his way back to your waiver wire after an uninspiring 23-yard outing. The box score was a little misleading in Week 7, and there is good reason for you to hold on or go out and get Kroft.

Kroft has now seen at least four targets per week since taking over the No. 1 spot and has averaged 4.3 receptions and just under 40 yards a game in that time.  That’s a solid floor for a tight end, and when Andy Dalton has time to throw in a competitive game, he likes to look to his TE.1 Dalton also regularly goes to the TE in the red zone. Kroft’s score against the Steelers gave him three in his last three contests.

In Week 8, Kroft gets a juicy matchup versus a Colts team that is currently giving up the eighth-most fantasy points and tied for the second-most red zone targets to TEs. Looking further ahead with the Buy Low Machine, you can see Kroft has one of the best TE schedules for the next five weeks. Snag him before this week to get the most bang for your FAAB bucks.

TE Buy Low

JALEN RICHARD (5% OWNED)

On top of Week 8 being a bye-pocalypse, Marshawn Lynch had to go and get himself suspended. As if the running back position wasn’t scarce enough. Once Lynch left the game, Richard split snaps and carries nearly 50/50 with backfield mate DeAndre Washington. However, Richard set himself apart through the air, racking up 45 receiving yards on his four receptions.

Oakland’s Week 8 opponent is Buffalo, one of the least friendly fantasy matchups for RBs. They allow the sixth-fewest fantasy points to the position.  Richard’s involvement in the passing game sets both his floor and ceiling higher than Washington’s and separates him from the other hodgepodge of RBs available.

DEMARCUS ROBINSON (0.2% OWNED)

Two weeks ago, I really thought Albert Wilson would have a stranglehold on the No. 2 receiver spot behind Tyreek Hill. I can’t ignore the numbers though — 13 targets over the last two weeks and a huge increase in snap count. Going from a previous high of nine snaps to 110 over the past two games says that Robinson is actually that guy.

In Week 7, Robinson led all the Kansas City receivers in offensive snaps and hauled in five of his eight targets for 69 yards. A key to a good Dumpster Dive is the opportunity to get fantasy points, and with snap counts like Robinson has had recently, you don’t get much better opportunity. The Chiefs’ next matchup is against the stingy Denver secondary, which is again, not great. However, with this many bye weeks, beggars can’t be choosers. Besides, Alex Smith is going to need to use his ancillary targets outside of Hill, Kareem Hunt, and Travis Kelce, as Denver will do its best to shut those players down. With Robinson being on the field for 99-percent of their offensive snaps, he has a great chance to make the most out of his opportunity.

KENNY STILLS (15.4% OWNED)

Yes, I realize I am cheating here. But Stills at 15-percent ownership is criminally low, especially considering the news that Jay Cutler is going to miss time. DeVante Parker is perpetually banged up, so, just this once, I am expanding my 10 percent or less criteria to 15 percent. Don’t @ me.

It’s a relatively small sample size, but in the past four games quarterback Matt Moore has played,2 Stills has scored a touchdown. That connection has doubled Stills PPR fantasy points production, increased his receptions per game, targets per game, and yards per game in contests with Moore under center.

K. Stills + M. Moore Splits

With news that Moore is taking over that offense, there is going to be some mid-season growing pains for sure. But with how productive Stills has been with Moore and Moore’s obvious affinity for Stills, he needs to be owned in all leagues.

Author Details
A professional saxophonist, full-time accountant, and fantasy football enthusiast, I bring a data-driven analytical approach to creative strategies for you to win your league. Co-host of the Fantasy Football 24/7 podcast, contributor to Player Profiler and author of the Dumpster Dives weekly column. Follow me @DumpsterDiveFF

Subscribe to the best.

  1. This Sunday, however, he had little time to throw and used Kroft more in a security blanket, dump-off type role.  (back)
  2. Three starts in 2016 and his Week 7 entrance.  (back)
By Phillip Caldwell | @ | Archive

No Comment

Leave a reply