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Tuesday Trades: 6 Buys and 4 Sells for Week 8

Welcome back to Tuesday Morning Trades, a weekly column that will highlight players to target today before their prices change tomorrow. The injury bug continues at the quarterback position, and we’ve now seen a slew of older QBs getting hurt in particular. For the most part we ignore QB health when thinking about draft day values for wide receivers, but this year has been an important reminder that you can’t take those 16 games from the QB for granted. It has me wondering whether we might see prices slide a little bit on Patriots and Saints pass catchers next year. For now, here are some of the best buys and sells at each position.

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By Devin McIntyre | @devinmci | Archive

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  1. Interesting that you mentioned the "real" NFL trade deadline approaching.

    I'm curious if you see any other potential deals besides the Ebron to DEN one that can have fantasy implications?

  2. @jasonhumes Great question, and I actually wish I'd spent a little more time in the article on the subject. The tricky part is that most of the news we get is just speculation up until the last minute.

    The NFL deadline is 4pm EST, Oct 31 (next Tuesday), so there could be big news throughout the week.

    Jarvis Landry is a huge name that could be traded, since he's on the last year of his contract, and is not likely to be extended by Miami. Almost anywhere he would go, he would probably lose a little value, at least in the short term, because it's difficult to assume the huge volume of short passes would automatically translate to another offense.

    One guy who could gain value is Jeremy Hill, who is in a contract year. If I were a team like Buffalo, that isn't a preferred destination for free agents, I would try to get him cheap and give him a reasonable contract that his agent would advise taking, rather than waiting until free agency, where we've seen some RBs just plummet. He could be a nice complement to McCoy, while being groomed to eventually take over as the early down back. Similarly, the Colts might want him with Turbin on IR, and Gore reaching the end of the line. They have Mack, but he's still a question mark, especially as a 3-down runner.

    Obviously Martavis Bryant could really go up in value if he's traded. There's no indication it's going to happen, but the Steelers making Bryant inactive this week could very quietly be a sign that they are considering it, despite saying otherwise. The Colts could be an interesting spot, as they have to make a decision on Moncrief next year and Kamar Aiken hasn't done too much. The Bears would be sort of interesting, particularly for the future.

  3. I was traveling last Thursday and didn't have a chance to post the Week 7 recap. Here's a rundown of last week's recommendations and how they fared.

    Week 7 Recap
    http://rotoviz.com/2017/10/tuesday-morning-trades-week-7/

    Buys

    TYROD TAYLOR - Tyrod was the QB9 this week with a 20 pt game and his second 50-yard rushing game of the year.

    LESEAN MCCOY - Obviously he was going to be expensive, but I suggested his zero TDs could make him available at the right price. Shady turned in the RB2 performance with 2 scores, 122 yards, and 5 receptions.

    THEO RIDDICK - Lions were on bye this week. Golden Tate has returned to practice, but I think there’s still a good chance he sits for this next game and Riddick benefits. The Lions brought up Jace Billingsley, which is another indication that they are not sure Tate is going to play.

    MARLON MACK - Robert Turbin did indeed go on IR, and Mack led all Colts RBs with 48% snaps. He got a very nice 6 targets to go with a handful of carries, and ripped off a 34 yard play in the passing game. Price is going up.

    BENNIE FOWLER - Fowler was the WR29 despite the Broncos getting shut out by the Chargers and led all Denver WRs with 83% snaps. He put up a solid 5 for 45 on 5 targets.

    DEMARCUS ROBINSON - Robinson lead all KC skill players with 98% snaps, even with Albert Wilson’s return. He tied Tyreek Hill with a team-leading 8 targets, which he turned into five receptions/69 yards. He was the WR22 this week and has the look of an every-week flex in deeper leagues.

    TJ JONES - Again, the Lions had a bye, but the addition of Jace Billingsley suggests to me that the Lions have their doubts about Golden Tate being available this week.

    MARTAVIS BRYANT - Well, this situation looks like it’s going to get worse before it gets better, but Bryant is trying to pressure the Steelers to trade him, and if they do, his value has a chance to go up significantly if he lands on a team with more available targets. This is a high risk, unknown reward situation, but the point was to take a flier for cheap.

    TYLER KROFT - Cincy struggled to get much going against the Steelers, but Kroft added another TD, and 4 receptions for 23 yards. He led all Bengals skill players again with 96% snaps. I’ll take it.

    Sell

    MATTHEW STAFFORD - Bye week for the Lions. If you still have him, you can probably get an even better price with Carson Palmer and Jay Cutler going down with injury this week.

    ADRIAN PETERSON - Peterson actually saw 4 targets last week, but only caught one, and managed a measly 33 yards. It’s possible the Cards lean on AP more with Palmer out, but that also means the offense will probably struggle mightily, which is not good for a primarily early down RB. I saw some really nice offers for Peterson flying around last week, so I hope you were able to take advantage.

    TY HILTON - The Colts got shut out, and Hilton managed just two catches for 27 yards. Additionally, Luck was announced to have had a setback and is no longer practicing. The odds that Luck gets shut down continue to grow, and the window to move Hilton is now quite narrow.

    MARTELLUS BENNETT - Optimistic Brett Hundley fans got a bucket of cold water against the Saints. Bennett managed 2 catches for 17 yards. The window to get any return on Bennett has firmly closed.

  4. Posted this in the Waiver Wire thread but it probably belongs here.

    Just flipped Fitz/Abdullah for Keenan, what do you think? 2RB 2WR 1 RB/WR 1 TE .5ppr

    QB: TyGod, Marriota
    RBs: Mckinnon, CJA, Duke, Brieda
    WR: AJG, Evans, Keenan, Diggs, Corey Davis
    TE: Ertz, HH

    Have a free roster spot now so I'm debating between Booker and Burkhead.

    I want to move Henry for RB help but not sure I'd get much of value for him. Would you move Ertz instead for someone like Mixon?

  5. @kdenigris That's a nice move. Fitz, esp in .5 is really shaky with no QB. I still love Ameer IRL, but if the Lions don't start passing to him, he's in that JStew tier almost. He'd be a mini-mark ingram if they used him effectively in the passing game, but that has not happened yet.

    I think Ertz is a 2nd round value right now, so I would not target a player like Mixon. I would only move him to get back LeSean (I would've offered Ertz/CJA last week, maybe could've done it), Freeman, maybe Ingram, maaaybe Hyde, maaaaaaaaaaybe CMC, and that's pretty much the list. Oh, I see it's .5ppr, so probably not CMC.

    If there's an HH believer, maybe you can get Yeldon, Richard, or Mack (that's probably a reach). Those are the guys that have a shot at leaping into McKinnon type value right now.

    @JollyG804 I didn't participate in the MVP roundup we did. I think defensive injuries that haven't happened yet will go a long way towards shaping which playoff matchups turn out to be really favorable. In general, I like Russ and Tyrod ROS. I like LeSean. You probably have a sense of my picks just from the column. In terms of playoff schedules, I feel okay projecting OAK to have to pass vs KC/DAL/PHI so I like Crabs and Cooper and Cook.

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