Stealing Signals Week 7: AFC Advanced Stats
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Stealing Signals provides your Week 7 look at snaps, touches, game flow, efficiency, and everything in between. Also, check out the NFC. If I don’t touch on a specific player you’re looking for information about, check past iterations in the archives of this series.
Houston TexansSnap Notes: D’Onta Foreman – 35% (season high) Key Stat: Deshaun Watson – QB1 from Weeks 2 to 6 The Texans’ RB usage the last few weeks suggested Lamar Miller was the clear lead back, with D’Onta Foreman racking up 13 Week 4 carries in garbage time. It was more or less the same deal in Week 6, as Foreman’s touches skewed to the second half of a game the Texans led 24-3 at the break. For better or worse, Miller has consistently been the lead back in recent weeks, though touch counts suggest it’s closer because of the playing time Foreman has picked up in large leads. Deshaun Watson was hyper-efficient again, and his 7.8 yards per attempt was actually the lowest he’s produced in the last four games.1 I had an interesting discussion this week about the weapons around Watson, and it’s obvious that’s a plus for a young QB, though not a guarantee for success. It’s more complicated than Brock Osweiler and Tom Savage being bad. Paxton Lynch immediately came to mind, but his sample is pretty limited. Trevor Siemian, on the other hand, is an example of a QB whose weapons probably helped him to a strong enough start this year that people were discussing him in breakout terms. He’s since settled in as a “meh” QB who is elevated a bit by a talented surrounding cast. What Watson has done is different and is more along the lines of what you’d expect if you had a strong supporting cast and added a QB that brought something substantial himself. We did talk last week about Houston’s recent schedule and how Cleveland was another plus matchup. During Watson’s strong four-game passing stretch he’s faced a schedule very conducive to QB fantasy scoring. Using the Buy Low Machine to look back includes some bias as Watson’s performances have impacted the data, but it’s still safe to say he’ll face some more difficult secondaries down the road. Signal: Lamar Miller – still the clear lead back outside heavy positive game script Noise: Will Fuller – dude has five TDs on eight receptions now
Cleveland BrownsSnap Notes: Kasen Williams – 58% (season high) Key Stat: Team – no RB/WR/TE with double-digit PPR points in Week 6
- For context, only five quarterbacks have a higher YPA for the season. (back)