DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

DFS Contrarian: Week 5 Low-Owned Plays

Let’s dive into a recap of my Week 4 picks, then I’ll give my top Week 5 DFS contrarian picks. As a reminder, here are the rules for the DFS Contrarian series.
  1. I will give at least one pick for QB, RB, WR, and TE.
  2. I can also include a D/ST when I believe they will be a good contrarian play.
  3. I will use the scoring from our Play of the Week contest that we used 2 years ago. It goes like this: When I take the average score of all DraftKings Millionaire Maker lineups that include my pick, if that pick ends up in the top 25 percent of all players when doing this then my pick counts as a hit. Otherwise it counts as a miss.
  4. A pick is also scored as a miss if it is above 10 percent owned in the Millionaire Maker. It’s not called DFS Contrarian for nothing.
  5. The goal is to have above a 20 percent hit ratio at the end of the year, which is roughly the percentage of lineups that cash in large-field, top-heavy GPPs like the Millionaire Maker.
The goal at the end of the year is to beat 20 percent, with a stretch goal of 30 percent. These are low owned, contrarian plays after all, so we’re not going to hit on most of them, and a top 20 percent score is what cashes in most GPPs.

Week 4 Recap

Unfortunately, Week 4 was a total disaster for me and for the picks. I personally had my worst DFS week since Week 17 of 2015, and my picks went 0 for 5. Dak Prescott was my closest call, missing out on the top 25 percent threshold by two percentage points, and Hunter Henry grabbed a TD but once again failed to get much volume. Let’s bounce back strong this week. Overall Record: 5-18 (21.7 percent)

Week 5 DFS Contrarian Picks

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By RotoDoc | @RotoDoc | Archive

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