3 Tricky Start/Sit Decisions for Week 7
Brett Squires examines some tough start/sit decisions for Week 7 at running back, wide receiver, and tight end. The following suggestions are suited for PPR scoring formats.
Week 6 in Review
Javorius Allen (9.6 points) or Duke Johnson (6.9 points)
While I picked Allen over Johnson, they both struggled and the 2.7 fantasy points probably weren’t enough to be the difference maker in many leagues.
Pierre Garcon (10.5 points) or Adam Thielen (18.6 points)
Even with the 49ers/Redskins game going into OT, Garçon struggled to get much going. Hopefully, you took my advice here and went with Thielen.
Evan Engram (19.2 points) or Jordan Reed (7.7 points)
Honestly, I thought these two would be much closer in points. Reed’s various injuries and terrible matchup forced me to side with Engram and it paid off.
Week 7 Start/Sits
C.J. Anderson (@LAC) or Tevin Coleman (@NE)
C.J. Anderson’s workload is no longer safe. Last week proved one thing: Devontae Booker is going to make this backfield a major headache. While they were down for most of the game and that contributed to Booker’s work in the passing game, it’s still discouraging for Anderson owners to see his snap share diminish to just 48 percent. Anderson just isn’t good enough as a runner to make up for those lost receptions. If you haven’t abandoned ship yet, now may be the time before things get even uglier in Denver.
All fantasy analysts share a similar dream every Saturday evening. It involves Tevin Coleman taking on a full workload and seeing 30 touches or more. Unfortunately, it’s merely a dream and we won’t see that happen this week against the Patriots. Even with the limited touches, Coleman is an exceptional pass catcher and has a great chance of scoring in Vegas’ highest projected total of 56.5 points.1 Coleman also scored eight of his 11 TDs on the road last season.
EDGE: Tevin Coleman
Robert Woods (vs. ARZ) or Nelson Agholor (vs. WSH)
Through six weeks of the NFL season, Patrick Peterson has shadowed a wide receiver in every game so far. Let’s just say it hasn’t worked out for those WRs.
Per Pro Football Focus
Sammy Watkins should be shadowed by Peterson in this contest. It’s not like they’ve been using him much over the past three weeks anyway, leaving Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods to soak up the majority of the targets. Justin Bethel should be lined up across from Woods for the majority of this game, and he’s allowed a whopping 2.1 yards per route covered, which is the sixth-most among active defensive backs.
Most will likely flock to Nelson Agholor here for obvious reasons, but I’m going on the road less traveled and follow the air yards. Algholor has flourished since moving to the slot — it also helps that Alshon Jeffrey is guaranteed to take the top cornerback away. Slot receivers typically have a low aDOT and YPR, but Agholor’s explosiveness and 4.42 wheels provide big-play potential.
Agholor’s 14.7 percent target share is concerning, and I don’t see him scoring in this game. Lastly, he has a difficult matchup with Kendall Fuller in the slot who currently has an 88.4 coverage grade (sixth in the league).
EDGE: Robert Woods
Cameron Brate (@BUF) or Kyle Rudolph (vs. BLT)
Cameron Brate has scored in four out of the five games so far this season, but Jameis Winston is less than 100 percent and the Bills haven’t allowed TEs to do very much. They’ve yet to allow a TD and defensive back Jordan Poyer has an outstanding 90.8 coverage grade. If Winston was fully healthy, it’d be much easier to trust Brate, but Brate’s red zone opportunities could be limited.
Case Keenum is the Vikings QB for the time being, and with Stefon Diggs on the shelf, Kyle Rudolph should be heavily targeted against a Baltimore defense that’s given up six TDs to opposing TEs. Rudolph has been targeted 18 times over the last two games and should see some red zone looks.
EDGE: Kyle Rudolph
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- New England has allowed 42 receptions (second most), 457 yards (most), and three TDs (tied for most). (back)