Week 6 Fantasy Projections: Fire from Watson and Thielen

Week 6 is upon us, and it’s time to make start/sit and roster management decisions.Earlier in the week, we looked at preliminary GLSP projections derived from a model I pulled together. Let’s compare and contrast these results with the GLSP projections calculated by the RotoViz apps and identify players with a surprising range of outcomes. As a reminder, GLSP projections are agnostic of a player’s situation, health, and external factors. They are compiled through the use of historical data to identify matchups between comparable players and defenses. How have receivers similar to Danny Amendola fared against defenses similar to the Jets? These are the types of questions that GLSP attempts to answer. GLSP projections rely solely on historical data.

How’d We Do Last Week?

We hit another home run with Deshaun Watson scoring 35 points and finishing as QB1. However, Alex Smith didn’t struggle. Rather, he scored 27 points. Bilal Powell recorded just two rushing attempts before being sidelined, so it’s hard to evaluate his performance against expectations. As predicted, DeMarco Murray failed to live up to his RB1 billing against the Dolphins, scoring just nine points and finishing as the RB27. DeSean Jackson landed on his high-end outcome with 16 points. The GLSP expected Larry Fitzgerald to be challenged. He scored 11 points, four less than his seasonal average.  Both GLSPs loved Evan Engram last week. Unfortunately, he caught zero of his four targets and laid a big, ugly goose egg. Conversely, Jason Witten beat his pessimistic outlook and scored 12 fantasy points.

Week 6 Fantasy Projections

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive

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