Wide Receiver Targets: Analyzing the Top 30
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Did you know that 10 wide receivers had double digit targets in Week 1? Fantasy football owners are looking for statistical certainty week in and week out. Many will use this information to make lineup decisions, determine which players to prioritize when making waiver wire decisions, or to identify potential trade targets. I will share a secret with you. Targets per game, receptions per game, and yards per game are some of the most predictable statistics for WRs. The introduction to this in-season series laid down the foundation and provided readers a line of sight our projected WR target leaders in 2017. Last week we examined WRs you could target by examining our Sim Scores. This week we will analyze the target numbers for Sunday’s slate of games.
THE ELITE 26Jacob Rickrode has written about the same WRs finishing in the top 24:
Nearly 63 percent of the 192 WR1 seasons since 2000 are on this grid. Twenty-six is a relatively small number of WRs when you consider around 150 WRs will register at least one catch every single year. Short and simple, these 26 have dominated the position.What was a key ingredient of the success that these WRs had? Not all of them played with elite quarterbacks, but there is a strong correlation of top WR1 seasons and a high number of targets per game. Rickrode also highlighted other WRs that could join this list with one more top-12 finish. I have also included the number of targets per game for these WRs. It is easy to get intoxicated by certain WRs after monster performances or disenchanted with others after they fail to meet your expectations. Have you ever made a lineup decision you have regretted? You can reduce this bias by focusing on the targets per game of a WR and snaps played.