Advice

Week 4 Air Yards Buy Low Receivers

Each week I break out air yards data to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. Last week was an exceptional one for the model. Many of the players identified by the Buy Low model not only exceeded their per game averages, but they exploded into week winning performances. DKlL-n5VYAAbA5n Last year the model was best at identifying players going into Week 3 as well, so early season is when it shines. This week the out of sample r-squared for the model is 0.53. The stats listed in the table are per-game averages.

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By Josh Hermsmeyer | @friscojosh | Archive

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  1. The only thing with Pryor is that we saw him underperform the model for almost all of last year, did we not?

    Hopefully he still inproves, but I wonder if the fact that he under performed on previous year on same model suggest that there is some unmeasured reason for underperformance.

  2. Traded Fitz + Prosise for Amari. Now, we wait and see. smile

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