Week 4 Air Yards Buy Low Receivers
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Each week I break out air yards data to find the wide receivers that stand the best chance to see an increase in their fantasy production. Last week was an exceptional one for the model. Many of the players identified by the Buy Low model not only exceeded their per game averages, but they exploded into week winning performances.
Last year the model was best at identifying players going into Week 3 as well, so early season is when it shines. This week the out of sample r-squared for the model is 0.53. The stats listed in the table are per-game averages.
Update:Late Night Larry: 36.9 points. https://t.co/HDznrmfKDC — Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) September 26, 2017