How Much Does Week 1 Tell Us About the Rest of the Season?

Now that we’ve got a week’s worth of games under our belt, fantasy pundits are busy trying to extrapolate the rest of the season. How much weight should Week 1 performances be given? Using the RotoViz Screener, I calculated the relationship between Week 1 performance and rest of season (Week 2 through Week 16) fantasy performance.1 The numbers I’m presenting are on a per-game basis and cover the years 2000 through 2016.2 A full table of relationships can be found at the bottom of this post, following a position-by-position breakdown.
  1. PPR points/game.  (back)
  2. I also calculated smaller and more recent time frames, and the trends were very similar.  (back)

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @Spidr2ybanana | Archive

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  1. Here's what I took from this article:

    1. Marvin Jones is droppable.
    2. Charles is ruggedly handsome.
  2. CK says:

    HAHA! Thanks! Appreciate the read.

  3. That's a great article.

    Charles K is killing this season.

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