Advice

3 Tight End Streamers To Win Week 4

After a somewhat disappointing effort in Week 2, my tight end streamer suggestions came good last week. Of my three suggestions, Jared Cook finished as TE7, Ben Watson took TE12 honors, while only Eric Ebron let the side down completely, finishing as he did at TE32.

Truth be told, it was a pretty miserable week for TE scoring. Of the top-12 scorers, only one of them didn’t score a touchdown, with Jimmy Graham managing a TE9 performance thanks to seven catches and 72 yards. Only Rob Gronkowski had more catches and yards. Even if the pattern of low-scoring continues into Week 4, the players I shall focus on today should be able to help you.

In keeping with the theme of this series, I’ll offer three viable streaming options at the TE spot for the upcoming slate of games. The players will be owned in less than 50 percent of all ESPN fantasy leagues.

Ownership percentages correct as of 1 pm Eastern 09.27.17

Charles Clay (available in 75.7 percent of ESPN leagues)

I’m not sure how much longer I will be able to write about Charles Clay in this series, given his consistency in 2017. The TE5 this season, Clay has seen a 23 percent target share in the Bills passing game, while accounting for 11 percent of the teams air yards. According to the NextGen stats provided by NFL.com, Clay’s 3.1 yards average separation is the fourth best among TEs and the 14th among all receivers. With LeSean McCoy struggling in his last two games, Clay has been the Bills offense.

His matchup this week could be better, given that the Falcons have only allowed 50 percent of the passes aimed at TEs to be completed while not conceding a receiving score in 2017. The volume opportunity is there. The RotoViz GLSP app has Clay projected for a 9.7 point ceiling, a total which would have been good for TE13 a week ago. It should be noted that going back to last season, Clay has six TDs in his last seven games. This nose for the end zone could really help you in Week 4.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 1.7 2.6 3.6 4.6
Median 3.9 5.3 6.9 8.7
High 4.8 7.5 9.7 11.9

 

Cameron Brate (93 percent)

There are so few things in life that are absolutely certain, don’t you agree? A few that we can agree on are that if we are born we will die, the sun will set, and James Corden will forever annoy me. I would like to think that, if a fourth entry is needed on this list, it is that TEs will always flourish against the New York Giants. In their last 35 games dating back to the beginning of the 2015 season, there have been 21 instances of a TE exceeding 50 receiving yards against the Giants, with five of these totals exceeding 100 yards. In 2017 alone, they have given up a TD to a TE in all three games. This makes Buccaneers TE Cameron Brate an absolute must start here.

While Brate trails his rookie teammate O.J. Howard 67.8 percent to 54.2 percent in terms of snaps played this season, Brate’s 11 extra pass routes have helped him garner 6 percent of the team air yards and a 10 percent market share. In Week 3’s loss to the Vikings, Brate caught all four of his targets for 33 yards and a score. The GLSP projections give Brate a good chance of a TE1 finish this week.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 3 4.5 6 7.5
Median 6.2 8.6 10.3 12.2
High 8.5 9.9 12 14.4

 

Evan Engram (79.7 percent)

Historically, rookie TEs do not make much of an impact in their first year. Evan Engram is doing his very best to make sure this does not apply to him. As the image below shows, his work through the first three games of his NFL career stands up against some of the better rookie TEs we have seen since the turn of the century.

engram

Jeremy Shockey and Tony Moeaki are two of only eight rookies at the TE spot to crack 500 yards in their first season since 2000, while Jordan Reed and Jermaine Gresham managed 499 and 471.

Engram is only behind the rotting corpse of Brandon Marshall and sophomore WR Sterling Shepard in terms of targets for the Giants this season. While his 13 grabs are tied with Odell Beckham, Engram’s 138 yards are more than Beckham has managed. Engram has seen seven targets in each of his last two games and has at least 44 yards and four catches in all three games he has played as a pro. The Giants are taking on the Buccaneers this week, and while on paper they present a stiff test for a young TE, this game will controversially not be played on paper.

The Bucs will likely be missing Lavonte David due to his ankle injury, while fellow linebacker Kwon Alexander’s status following his Week 3 absence is still something of an unknown. If the Bucs are sensible, they should focus on trying to stop Beckham, which could open things up nicely for Engram. His GLSP ceiling is a low-end TE1, and given his widespread availability, he could be a sneaky week winner.

STD 1/2PPR PPR 1 1/2 PPR
Low 2.6 4 5.3 6.7
Median 4.9 7 9.2 11.4
High 6.1 8.7 11.3 14

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By Neil Dutton | @ndutton13 | Archive

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