Stealing Signals: Week 3, NFC
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Two weeks are in the books, and some of the storylines that will define the 2017 season have already started taking shape. Yesterday we covered the AFC, and here are the actionable notes for the NFC for Week 3.
New Orleans SaintsSnap Notes: Brandon Coleman – 89% (+12%); Ted Ginn – 66% (-2%); Mark Ingram – 54% (+12%); Coby Fleener – 49% (-3%); Josh Hill – 40% (even); Alvin Kamara – 26% (-24%); Adrian Peterson – 25% (+10%) Key Stat: Michael Thomas – 219 Air Yards (Sixth most through two weeks) Mark Ingram appears to have taken over the backfield lead, posting an 8-52 rushing line with 5-4-24 receiving. Unfortunately, his long run and long reception both came in the final three plays, sandwiching a spike with four seconds left. He caught a 14-yard pass before the futile spike, then ran for 28 yards on the game’s final play. In other words, 42 of his 76 total yards couldn’t have been more meaningless. Alvin Kamara’s snaps dropped off, but he did see seven targets, including one on a go route where he was split out wide and hauled in a 38-yard completion. His 79 Air Yards led the league for an RB in Week 2 by 38. He only saw one carry, though. The team prioritized Ingram and Adrian Peterson, who totaled 15-50 before Ingram’s late scamper. Peterson has one target and no catches to go with his 3.1 YPC on 14 carries so far. Current free agent Tim Hightower managed a 4.1 YPC in this role last year, plus 22 catches. Coby Fleener scored again, although like Ingram it was late in the blowout loss.1 He continues to split snaps with Josh Hill, and their targets were much closer in Week 2, with Fleener holding the slight four to three edge. He’s playing over his head right now given the snap share. His 8.0 reFPOE is fourth among TEs. Willie Snead is a week away from returning. It remains to be seen how his return will impact the snap and target splits, but my guess is he mostly takes opportunity from Brandon Coleman, while Ted Ginn’s role remains steadier. It’s interesting in that context to note Coleman saw an uptick in snaps and has been efficient thus far. Michael Thomas has left a few points on the board, but his opportunity is promising. His 28.2 reEP are 11th while his 219 Air Yards are good for sixth league-wide. Signal: Adrian Peterson’s opportunity, efficiency Noise: Mark Ingram’s efficiency in Week 2
Philadelphia EaglesSnap Notes: Torrey Smith – 86% (+15%); Nelson Agholor – 76% (+14%); Darren Sproles – 69% (+20%); Brent Celek – 24% (-13%); LeGarrette Blount – 8% (-26%) Key Stat: Team – 46/17 Week 2 pass/run ratio, 85/41 on the season
- He scored with just over five minutes remaining. (back)