Stealing Signals: Week 2, AFC

Week 1 was a mess of information, and it’s hard to know what to apply and what is small sample noise. Here are the actionable notes for Week 2.

Kansas City Chiefs

Snap Notes: Chris Conley – 94%; Tyreek Hill – 72%; Albert Wilson – 58%; Kareem Hunt – 58%; Charcandrick West – 35% Key Stat: Kareem Hunt – 22 touches (Charcandrick West – 2) Tyreek Hill’s 72 percent snap rate was higher than any of his 2016 games, despite reportedly missing time in the fourth quarter with cramps. It’s a more meaningful note from Week 1 than him hitting on another splash play. I’ve been low on Hill so even though I’m intrigued by his Week 1 involvement, my perception probably isn’t going to chase down his spiking value anytime soon. Still, it seems possible he’s an 80 percent snap guy. Last year, the Chiefs had two 80 percent WRs in Weeks 1-4, but once Hill emerged they didn’t split usage that way again all year. Tyreek Hill So we saw a couple different allocations of playing time, and it’s possible this goes either way. Chris Conley’s 94 percent in Week 1 is notable until you realize he played 80 percent or more nine times last year and posted exactly one double-digit PPR game. If he’s posting 2-43 lines while Alex Smith is dropping 368-4, I’m not sure when you can reliably start him. There was some commentary on how much backup tight ends were playing. Travis Kelce was in on 97 percent of snaps, with Demetrius Harris at 38 percent, right in line with 2016. KC TEs Kareem Hunt was incredible. He was the Week 1 leader in both rushing and receiving Fantasy Points Over Expectation (FPOE), per the RotoViz Screener. He won’t be that efficient every week, but the combined workload was exceptionally strong. There were conflicting reports of a workhorse role for Hunt or a possible committee, and considering the split even after Hunt fumbled on his first career carry, we have a strong idea who will be the face of this offense going forward. Signal: Kareem Hunt’s workload Noise: Charcandrick West’s production (9.5 PPR points, but only two touches)  

New England Patriots

Snap Notes: Chris Hogan – 90%; James White – 53%; Mike Gillislee – 30%; Rex Burkhead – 12%; Dion Lewis – 7% Key Stat: Mike Gillislee – 18.8 ruEP (Second most)

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By Ben Gretch | @YardsPerGretch | Archive

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