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GLSP Range of Outcomes: Week 3 Fantasy Projections

Week 3 is upon us and it’s time to make start/sit and roster management decisions. Earlier in the week, we looked at preliminary GLSP projections derived from a model I pulled together. Let’s compare and contrast these results with the GLSP projections calculated by the RotoViz apps and identify players with a surprising range of outcomes. As a reminder, GLSP projections are agnostic of a player’s situation, health and external factors. They are compiled through the use of historical data to identify matchups between comparable players and defenses. How have receivers similar to A.J. Green fared against defenses similar to the Packers? These are the types of questions that GLSP attempts to answer. GLSP projections rely solely on historical data. As a result, they will become more meaningful as we make our way further into the season.

How’d We Do Last Week?

We hit with Cam Newton struggling as QB22 but Blake Bortles was anything but surprisingly good, finishing as QB27. Darren Sproles didn’t pan out as RB36 but Isiaih Crowell struggled as RB59 as predicted. Martavis Bryant was strong as WR12 but Cole Beasley didn’t meet my expectations. Fellow Cowboy, Dez Bryant, finished as WR11 proving the GLSP wrong. Jermaine Gresham, who was expected to surprise, was unable to go due to a rib injury and Eric Ebron exceeded his low expectations as TE7. Week 2 didn’t go as well as Week 1, but I’m hoping to turn things around with the impending slate of games.

Week 3 Fantasy Projections

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive

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