GLSP Range of Outcomes: Week 4 Fantasy Projections 

Week 4 is upon us, and it’s time to make start/sit and roster management decisions. Earlier in the week, we looked at preliminary GLSP projections derived from a model I pulled together. Let’s compare and contrast these results with the GLSP projections calculated by the RotoViz apps and identify players with a surprising range of outcomes. As a reminder, GLSP projections are agnostic of a player’s situation, health and external factors. They are compiled through the use of historical data to identify matchups between comparable players and defenses. How have receivers similar to Amari Cooper fared against defenses similar to the Broncos? These are the types of questions that GLSP attempts to answer. GLSP projections rely solely on historical data. As a result, they will become more meaningful as we make our way further into the season.

How’d We Do Last Week?

We hit with Carson Palmer having a solid outing and scoring 21 points and Marcus Mariota finishing outside of the top-15 of QB rankings. Derrick Henry hit his median projection but failed to surprise with a strong performance. However, Jay Ajayi did struggle before leaving his Week3 contest with an injury. The WR GLSP liked Eli Rogers‘ chances of surprising but was way off. Jeremy Maclin, on the other hand, was projected correctly; he scored only two points. Julius Thomas had a very favorable projection but scored only 4.5 points, and Rob Gronkowski, albeit a risky pick, proved his projection to be massively incorrect.

Week 4 Fantasy Projections

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive