2017 Projections: Kirk Cousins and the Washington Redskins
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In this series, I use an internal version of the Projection Machine to explore likely outcomes for offensive players on all 32 NFL teams. The Projection Machine employs a top-down approach that builds on team-wide assumptions to develop expectations of offensive output. I will use staff averages to help guide the inputs underlying the projections. Check out this article for further information on the process used by the RotoViz team. All 2017 Washington Redskins projections are based on PPR scoring. The Redskins won eight games in 2016. Pythagorean win percentage and Vegas expect a similar outcome in the coming season. As a result, the team is projected with a slight increase in scoring margin. It will operate an average pace and is expected to favor the pass. Given these assumptions, the Projection Machine forecasts 562 passing and 426 rushing attempts.
|Scoring Margin||Pass Tendency||Pace Tendency|
|League 75th percentile||1.00||0.02||0.85|
|League 50th percentile||-1.25||-0.01||-0.85|
|League 25th percentile||-3.75||-0.04||-2.70|
|Redskins 2017 (Projection)||-1.50||0.06||-0.50|