Draft Strategy

3 Candidates To Be This Year’s DeAndre Hopkins

3 Candidates is a series that identifies key traits of the best and worst picks of 2016 and which players could be this year’s version of those players.  Part of a six-article series, I’m searching for players who look most similar to some of last year’s best or worst draft picks. It’s important to remember that the statement I’m making is: “If there is one like them this year, it may be…” as opposed to the fundamentally different argument: “There will be another this year, and it’s going to be…” What was DeAndre Hopkins last season? We know now that he was the third worst wide receiver pick, and the sixth worst overall pick, in My Fantasy League MFL10s, as determined by win rate.1 But what was he a year ago, before we knew that? What were the key descriptors one would have used to describe Hopkins last July? We can remove hindsight bias from this one because I wrote about fading him last summer:
  • Post-breakout, young WR coming off a very productive season, who wildly outperformed his average draft position.
  • An expected dramatic increase in competition for targets.
  • On a team with a highly questionable quarterback situation.
  • Very high ADP (WR4, 1.06 or 6th overall, for all 2016 MFL10s).
Which WRs closely fit that description this year?
  1. “Win rate” is the percentage of teams rostering any one player that won an MFL10 league.  (back)

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By 14Team Mocker | @14TeamMocker | Archive

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