2017 Projections: Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks

In this series, I use an internal version of the Projection Machine to explore likely outcomes for offensive players on all 32 NFL teams. The Projection Machine employs a top-down approach that builds on team-wide assumptions to develop expectations of offensive output. I will use staff averages to help guide the inputs underlying the projections. Check out this article for further information on the process used by the RotoViz team. All 2017 Seattle Seahawks projections are based on PPR scoring. The Seahawks won ten games in 2016 and are expected to win ten and a half in 2017. As a result, the RotoViz staff projects the team to operate with similar tendencies while seeing an uptick in scoring margin. Based on these assumptions, the Projection Machine forecasts 532 passes and 450 rushes.
Scoring Margin Pass Tendency Pace Tendency
League 75th percentile 1.00 0.02 0.85
League 50th percentile -1.25 -0.01 -0.85
League 25th percentile -3.75 -0.04 -2.70
Seahawks 2015 4.00 -0.03 -0.25
Seahawks 2016 0.50 0.03 -1.25
Seahawks 2017 (Projection) 2.00 0.00 -0.77

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By Dave Caban | @DaveCabanFF | Archive