Draft Strategy

Regression in Atlanta: One Highly Coveted Asset Is About To Take the Biggest Hit

Because the human brain is so wired to give in to the recency effect, it blocks out the ability for many to understand and exploit regression to the mean. This point is extremely important to emphasize when dealing with the sport of football, which is subject to extreme variance on a week-to-week and year-to-year basis. Since the recency effect causes us to put too much weight on recent performance, the way to gain an edge in fantasy football is by understanding regression to the mean takes place over large sample sizes and making your decisions in that light. Using this line of thinking, let’s use historical comps to explore what can be expected of the Atlanta Falcons’ offense this season.

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By Ben Cummins | @BenCumminsFF | Archive

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