IDP Projections: AFC East

This edition includes IDP projections for Jerry Hughes, Micah Hyde, David Harris,  and many others at the positions of defensive tackle, defensive end, linebacker, cornerback, and safety. In this edition, I’m highlighting some of the scheme, personnel and coaching adjustments I used when projecting the AFC East. I’ll share actionable information such as buy-low players, fades, targets and anything which could create an advantage for our subscribers during their drafts.


My first step was to review some publicly available defensive position depth charts and compare to my own. I like using Ourlads and Rotoworld. Also, it’s important to evaluate coaching and defensive scheme changes. I used a balanced scoring system that awards 1.5 points per solo tackle, 0.75 for each assist, 1 point for passes defended, 3 points per sack, 3 points for forced fumbles, and 4 points for an interception. I’ve included the pressure rate metric from Football Outsiders as it helps track defensive pass rush progress and incorporates hurries in addition to sacks. Also included is QB sacks allowed which was helpful for projecting sacks. There are many other variables that I review and I’ll note those throughout each projection notebook. I hope these projections help readers to determine their valuations of players as they develop their draft strategies. The most significant change in direction for the IDP world in the AFC East comes in Buffalo, as Leslie Frazier will convert the defense back to the 4-3 and positively affect IDP projection outlooks for the players along the defensive line.

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By Eric Braun | @FFPlanetX | Archive