The Best Fantasy Value in the Tenth Round
The methodology for this exercise is straightforward. I’m comparing a player’s positional ranking in our fantasy points projections to their positional ADP and looking for the biggest favorable discrepancy in each round. I’m talking primarily about MFL10 best ball drafts, but these findings should be applicable to most PPR redraft formats, and they’ll even have some utility for dynasty players who are mulling trades or otherwise deciding how to value players. Let’s take a look at the 10th round and find the best value.
The Best Fantasy Value in Round 10
It’s important to note that roster construction is not the primary focus of this exercise. I’m thinking about it in a general way, but I’m not optimizing my decisions here based on the very important structural considerations that come into play in any draft, but especially an MFL10. I’m really just looking for potential value targets.
|Player||POS||POS PR RK||POS ADP RK||FP||ADP|
Duke Johnson makes for a nice selection in the 10th round. We see him as a top-30 RB, which makes him a real nice bargain at his ADP. We know he’ll have a decent role in the passing game, and he could see a huge increase in opportunity should anything untoward happen to Isaiah Crowell. Jordan Hoover gives you an in-depth look at Johnson’s value.
Our projection for Johnson is in line with the median performance of his comparable players. That makes me feel confident in his outlook. But what if Johnson turns in a 75th percentile season? All that takes is a jump from our projected 9.2 points per game to 10.9 points per game. So one extra catch and a few more yards. That gets Johnson up to 174 points on the season or roughly RB21.
Quincy Enunwa, Kenny Britt, Mike Wallace, and Marvin Jones. Wow. There’s a lot of WR value available here in the 10th round. If you’re in a league that allows trading for picks, maybe pick up some extra here. If not, put these guys on your trade targets list. All of these WRs have featured favorably in recent content.
- Quincy Enunwa – Value at the intersection of targets and ADP
- Kenny Britt – Why the hell is he being drafted so late?
- Mike Wallace – 2017 Air yards projection
- Marvin Jones – A great buy
Dak Prescott was great as a rookie. We just see the hype getting a little ahead of his likely production.