Advice

3 Crazy WR Bargains in the Double Digit Rounds

In addition to drafting wide receivers early, I also enjoy drafting WRs late. The middle-to-late rounds can also be fruitful places to find WRs.

Today, I bring you a trio of WRs who aren’t getting nearly enough love. These double-digit darlings possess the potential to make their current ADPs look silly once the footballs start to fly for real.

QUINCY ENUNWA – ADP: 12th ROUND

This double-digit special won’t last long. News broke on June 6th that the Jets would free themselves of their best WR.

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That surging blue line is the realization that Quincy Enunwa is now the WR1 for the New York Jets.

Let’s sketch a quick projection of what Enunwa looks like as the Jets WR1, assuming the Jets are bad and will be behind plenty this season.

Enunwa received 13 percent of the Jets targets as a rookie, while New York’s WR1 has seen an average of 26 percent of the targets over the past two seasons. Let’s say he gets 19 percent of targets in 2017, and I’ll assign him the same efficiency rates from his rookie year.

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Now let’s assume he gets closer to traditional target rates for a Jets No. 1 receiver:

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A 198-point season would have been good for a back-end WR2 the last two years. That’s an optimistic ceiling, but there is a real shot at a WR3 season. He would also appear to have a safe floor as the top pass-catching option on a Jets teams that could be all-time terrible.

We were already warned that Quincy Enunwa is undervalued this offseason. If you didn’t get on board earlier, now may be your last chance.

TYRELL WILLIAMS – ADP: 12th ROUND

Tyrell Williams likely won’t hit 119 targets and 1,059 yards again this season, but he should be safe as second bean to Keenan Allen in a high-volume offense.

While the two Williams wideouts have done quite the ADP dance this off season, it’s Mike who is going to miss the entire offseason program with a herniated disc.

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That lost offseason is especially crushing for a rookie who really needs some quality Rivers time. I’m not concerned about Tyrell’s job security, not this year anyway. Besides, is it possible that we’re underestimating him? Could he ever pull into a 1b situation with Keenan Allen? Unlikely, but we can’t rule it out.1

Meanwhile, here is every undrafted free agent WR since 2000 to put up a 1,000-yard season within his first three years in the league. (Honorable mention to Willie Snead.)

Tyrell Graphic

 

In the 12th round, I’m buying Tyrell Williams.

 KENNY BRITT – ADP: 10th ROUND

WR31, ADP: WR53

Kenny Britt topped RotoDoc’s Top-11 PPR Values According to Our Staff Projections. He’s the 53rd WR taken off the board, but our staff composite projections put him at WR30 with 200 PPR fantasy points:

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That projection may be on the conservative side. Corey Coleman is really about the only thing that could keep Britt from returning incredible value at this price. And if injury issues continue to plague Coleman, that only increases Britt’s market share, as the Browns really have no other WRs to target.

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Kenny Britt will have little problem achieving at least 111 targets once again in Cleveland, with or without Coleman. It’s a decent bet that there is even more work in store in 2017, and a WR2 finish looks like a real possibility.

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  1. Allen has averaged more points on multiple occasions than Williams managed in 2016, but injuries have kept him from ever quite reaching Williams’ yardage total.  (back)
By Cort Smith | @cortnall | Archive

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