The Numbers Game

The Top-36 WRs for 2017: Numbers Game, 18 May 2017

May 18, 2017: The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast.

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Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc) Editor at RotoViz, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D.

Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Contributor at RotoViz and inventor of WR Air Yards


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Nick and Josh dive into Josh’s returning WR model, which is an ensemble of four machine learning models that gives an out-of-sample R-squared of 0.66 when predicting WR PPR performance. Josh gives insights into some of the WRs that have made his top-36 WR countdown, including Rishard Matthews, Jamison Crowder, and Kelvin Benjamin. He also talks about which receivers missed the top-36 cut. He talks about why he has changed his mind and believes David Johnson is a top-three overall pick in PPR leagues in 2017. Finally, the hosts talk about Nick’s work on Pythagorean Wins for 2017 and what it means for certain teams and players like Todd Gurley.


Our theme music is by Black Ant.

To contact the show, reach out to us via Twitter (@NumbersGamePod) or email (

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