Dynasty

RotoViz Dynasty League: A Third Round of Value Picks and IDP Stars

The RotoViz Dynasty League is a rollicking 19-starter, 60-roster spot format with full IDP.

We recently examined Corey Davis and his supporting cast in Round 1, a big run on runners in Round 2, and now we move into an IDP-heavy Round 3. The RotoViz format shares many similarities with the majority of IDP leagues, and this exercise provides insight into where defensive players will come off the board in those formats.

During the NFL draft, 25 writers handled 59 reaction pieces and provided an in-depth look at our QB Model, RB Model, TE Model, Phenom Index, and Freak Score (WR). You can find a wealth of information about these prospects by clicking on the draft reaction links.

Round 3

3.01 Kenny Golladay, WR, Detroit Lions

No MAC receiver bested Golladay’s market share numbers across 2015 and 2016, and that includes Western Michigan’s Davis. Immense production landed Golladay on my pre-draft sleeper list even before he tore up the combine. At 6-foot-4 and 218 pounds, Golladay profiles as a potential true No. 1 in an offense that has only forced-volume No. 2s in Golden Tate and Marvin Jones. (Of course, his floor is much lower than the established veterans.)

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Kenny Golladay Goes to the Detroit Lions

3.02 Solomon Thomas, DE, San Francisco 49ers

Selected No. 3 overall in the reality draft, Thomas needed only two seasons to tally 12 sacks and 24.5 tackles for loss. He posted absurd combine numbers at 273 pounds, including a 4.69 forty, 35-inch vertical, and 6.95 three-cone.

3.03 Jamal Adams, S, New York Jets

IDP guru Eric Braun showed Adams as the No. 2-rated safety in the defensive version of the RotoViz Scouting Index and pointed out the Landon Collins upside. The No. 6 overall pick didn’t show elite athleticism at Indy – 4.56 forty, 31.5-inch vertical – but could be a tackling machine as a rookie.

3.04 Cooper Kupp, WR, Los Angeles Rams

Kupp re-wrote the FCS record books with four elite statistical seasons at Eastern Washington. The final RSI slotted him in as the No. 6 receiver prospect. We weren’t as sanguine, dropping him to No. 12 in our pre-draft rankings due to serious age and athleticism concerns. He still went at N0. 69 overall to the Rams, a strange selection for a team that already has limited-athleticism possession receivers in Robert Woods and Pharoh Cooper, not to mention a line-of-scrimmage gadget player in Tavon Austin. Woods has played in the NFL for four seasons and is only 14 months older than Kupp.

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Cooper Kupp Goes to the Los Angeles Rams

3.05 Carlos Henderson, WR, Denver Broncos

Henderson was a top-five WR prospect for many of the brightest minds in scouting, but he’s not without his red flags. The owner of a 4.46 forty at 5-foot-11 and 199 pounds, Henderson lacks the size of a No. 1 or the speed of a vertical field-stretcher. He’ll be asked to complement Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders in Denver, an important reality role that will lack fantasy relevance unless the their QB situation dramatically improves.

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Carlos Henderson Goes to the Denver Broncos

3.06 Patrick Mahomes, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

RotoDoc updated his QB Model, and Mahomes was a riser after the Chiefs traded up to select him at No. 10. It will be interesting to watch the battle between Mahomes and Watson in rookie drafts. Mahomes is the better and higher-upside prospect. He led Watson in throw velocity (60 to 49) and in adjusted yards per attempt (9.2 to 8.0) despite an inferior supporting cast. Watson fights back with an unrelenting publicity machine, superior NFL weapons, and a much clearer path to rookie starts.

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Pat Mahomes Goes to the Chiefs

3.07 Jamaal Williams, RB, Green Bay Packers

3.08 Aaron Jones, RB, Green Bay Packers

It’s not often you have two positional teammates selected in consecutive picks in a rookie draft. Blair Andrews recently broke down the battle in detail:

Both Jones and Williams were productive college backs, but Jones had a better combine. Jones was slightly more productive (and much more productive in the passing game) while Williams accounted for a slightly larger share of his team’s non-QB rushing yards. However, UTEP’s schedule was ranked dead last in the FBS, so Jones’ production numbers may be inflated a bit.

williams v jones

While Green Bay’s earlier selection of Williams likely signals a small edge to the BYU product, we love Jones as one of the draft’s hyper-productive sleepers, and now he’s a sleeper in a great offense. Over the last decade, 42 RBs have managed 2,000 yards from scrimmage. None eclipsed that barrier in fewer touches.

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Aaron Jones Goes to the Green Bay Packers

3.09 Dede Westbrook, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

The Biletnikoff winner adds a diminutive speed threat and offers insurance against the departure of Marqise Lee and/or Allen Hurns.1 While he’s blocked by established veterans in 2017, UDFA Amba Etta-Tawo could be the long term competition.2 A one-year wonder like Westbrook, the Syracuse late bloomer may be the better prospect.

Westbrook v AET

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Dede Westbrook Goes to the Jacksonville Jaguars

3.10 Jabrill Peppers, S, Cleveland Browns

College football’s biggest defensive name could be an immediate impact player with Cleveland. He ran a 4.46 forty at 213 pounds and should be an IDP force, especially if he’s used in a hybrid role that helps accumulate those all-important tackle numbers.

3.11 Haason Reddick, LB, Arizona Cardinals

Reddick was a force of nature at Temple with 35.5 tackles for loss and 14.5 sacks over his last two seasons. He then torched the combine with a 4.52 forty and 133-inch broad jump at 237 pounds.

3.12 Deshaun Watson, QB, Houston Texans

Winning a national title is no guarantee of professional success.3 That didn’t stop the chorus of indignation when the Chiefs moved up to take a QB who wasn’t Watson or the gnashing of teeth in Cleveland when they traded the pick to another QB-needy team. A more objective look reveals serious concerns about arm strength and a poor final season from an efficiency perspective, especially when you consider his weapons, one of whom went No. 7 overall.

As a Will Fuller owner in multiple leagues, I’m invested in Watson,4 and his fit in Houston seems promising. Of course, he’s a good buy at these prices regardless. Stashing future QB value is one way to use your much-maligned third round rookie picks.

2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Deshaun Watson Goes to the Houston Texans

 

More Draft Resources

2017 RB Workhorse Scores
2017 RB Dominator Ratings
2017 Pre-Draft Rookie Rankings
Ultimate WR Draft Guide
RotoViz Scouting Index
WR Visualizations – Elite Tier

 

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  1. Lee’s rookie deal expires after this season, and the Jaguars are likely to opt out of Hurns’ deal unless he bounces back in a big way.  (back)
  2. Or AET could go the K.D. Cannon route and be gone tomorrow.  (back)
  3. Some of the recent failures were better athletes and overall prospects than Watson.  (back)
  4. And I’m generally just rooting for all prospects.  (back)
By Shawn Siegele | @ff_contrarian | Archive

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