Rookie Running Back Lessons: What History Says about Christian McCaffrey
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This year two running backs – Leonard Fournette and Christian McCaffrey – were taken in the first round of the NFL draft. In solidarity, dynasty owners are drafting them with top-three rookie picks. This synchronicity has occurred 18 times in the last nine years, with noteworthy results. The initiation of two new members into this fraternity occasions an opportunity to study history. A cohort of just 18 doesn’t lend itself to the construction of a data model, but to borrow from the social sciences, case studies may enhance our understanding and refine our expectations. Let’s begin by getting reacquainted with these RBs, and then discuss whether or not fantasy drafters have been right to hitch their valuations of these players so closely to the NFL’s.