2017 NFL Draft Reaction: Josh Dobbs Goes to the Pittsburgh Steelers
RotoViz has teamed up with TwoQBs to provide post-draft analysis of the 2017 quarterback class. Two QBs is devoted to 2QB and Superflex fantasy leagues and provides player evaluations and advice, rankings, and strategy. Anthony Spangler’s work can be found here.
Joshua Dobbs is headed to Pittsburgh after being selected in the fourth round (135 overall) in this year’s NFL draft. The 22-year-old signal caller will first look to secure backup duties with his new team before making his case for a starting role; similar to how Ryan Mallet and Brock Osweiler were each able to land starting roles following stints as backups to entrenched, franchise QBs.
Despite a lackluster collegiate career with the Tennessee Volunteers, from a statistical standpoint, Dobbs is in a unique position to completely rewrite his narrative and become an intriguing fantasy player to keep an eye on.
Barring injury to Steelers’ starter Ben Roethlisberger, Dobbs isn’t expected to make too big a splash in the fantasy football pool in 2017. Leading up to his selection by Pittsburgh, Dobbs’ ADP in MFL10 leagues has been virtually nonexistent. Even though Dobbs’ value hasn’t (yet) registered with fantasy owners, there’s plenty to like about the situation the new Steelers’ QB has been presented with.
Joshua Dobbs, Tennessee, 6-3, 216
In his Armchair Scouting Report Anthony Amico points out that, despite fellow rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson’s advantage in passing volume, Dobbs compares quite nicely in terms of passer efficiency rating and adjusted yards/passing attempt (AYA). The pair also shares some striking similarities in their combine measurables, with Dobbs even edging Watson out in many of the categories.
Here’s how the two stack up according to a few combine metrics:
At a glance, Dobbs compares favorably, athletically at least, to Watson and the other more-coveted QBs of this class. This is our first indicator that Dobbs could be the sort of late-round gem that fantasy owners dream of hitting on.
Dobbs ranked 53rd overall, and ninth among QBs in the 2017 RotoViz Scouting Index. RotoViz analysts viewed him slightly more favorably, listing him eighth in pre-draft QB rankings. In both cases, Dobbs found himself somewhere in the middle of the pack for this year’s QB class.
Coincidentally, Dobbs’ passing efficiency was also middle of the road among the 2017 rookies:
There’s no doubting Dobbs’ appeal from a speed and agility standpoint. However, despite his attractive combine data, Dobbs always felt destined to be a mid-to-late-round draft pick due to oft-cited accuracy issues and questions regarding ball security and pocket presence. Even with those issues in mind, it seemed to be the consensus that Dobbs possessed enough intriguing upside to make him worthy of an NFL roster spot as a sort of low-risk, high reward, Deshaun Watson-lite.
Any lingering questions regarding Dobbs’ ability to perform at the NFL level won’t be answered until he’s able to address them on the field. As with most players, it can be expected that a great deal of Dobbs’ success, fantasy or otherwise, will be tied to the situation surround his new team.