Visualizing the Careers of the 2017 Quarterback Class
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One of my favorite RotoViz pieces over the years was Jon Moore’s “Visualizing the Careers Of Wide Receiver Prospects.” Jon charted the college production of successful NFL WRs and then compared their numbers to each incoming rookie class. While he’s moved on to Pro Football Focus, I thought it could be fun to build upon his idea and take a look at the 2017 Quarterback class. Fantasy Douche has mentioned Games Dominated as a way to examine how productive WRs were on a game-to-game basis. Using a benchmark of 9.0 adjusted yards per attempt (AYA), I decided to use a similar study for this process. I excluded seasons wherein the prospect didn’t start at least half of the games, and I considered games started to be ones where at least 15 passes were attempted. To create the trend line, I used a similar group of players as RotoDoc used to create his awesome QB prospect model. These players have had at least one season in the NFL with an AY/A over 7, but I increased the games started to 10. The tiers were based on our RotoViz Scouting Index and ages were pulled from the 2017 Age Database. Keep in mind that this is just an exploratory exercise.