The 2017 RB Sweet 16: (1) Leonard Fournette vs (17) Christopher Carson
The RotoViz Running Back Prospect Sweet 16 Tournament matches the top incoming prospects in a head-to-head March Madness style format. Various RotoViz writers break down each match-up with the winner moving on to the next round.
(1) Leonard Fournette vs (17) Christopher Carson
Fournette is the top seed in the bracket, having rushed for 120 yards per game in his final season. He ran a 4.51 forty yard dash at the Combine, while weighing in at a massive 240 pounds. Somewhat surprisingly, he also averaged a shade over two receptions per game. On paper, he looks like the real deal. It will be interesting to see if Carson is able to compete after taking down Stanley Williams in the play-in round.
Anthony Amico – Leonard Fournette: The fact that Carson has done virtually nothing as a producer would make him a loser in most matchups. Being up against the top seeded Fournette makes losing a formality.
Matt Wispe – Leonard Fournette: Between project draft position and athleticism, this isn’t much of a contest. Even at the 1.01 overall cost, Fournette is on another level.
Jordan Hoover – Leonard Fournette: Even though he might lose his half of the money to Wesley Snipes in a dunk contest, Fournette’s 116 Speed Score is insane. His production at LSU, when healthy, is also impressive – 0.49 market share of rushing yards in his first two seasons. Carson barely snuck by Williams in the play-in game of our bracket. The run ends here as Carson’s prospect profile simply doesn’t match up to Fournette’s.
Shawn Siegele – Leonard Fournette: Fournette looks a little more like Trent Richardson now, but you’ll still be able to trade him for king’s ransom.
Matthew Freedman – Leonard Fournette: Can I just copy and paste what everyone else has already said? Fournette isn’t Ezekiel Elliott, but because of how dynasty markets work he’ll still be more valuable than he should be for the next six months.
Scott Smith – Leonard Fournette: People have been picking Fournette apart as of late in the draft process. There is no way to justify Carson in this match up. As one of the few to pick Boom over Carson, I don’t know if I can even justify an attempt to defend Carson here. Fournette moves on here and its not even close.
Blair Andrews – Leonard Fournette: I don’t think I’ll own Fournette anywhere–he’s just too expensive. But there’s really not a lot that gives me any kind of confidence that Carson will be a productive NFL running back. Fournette has an elite speedscore, and he’ll almost certainly be given an opportunity to produce right away.
In probably the least surprising outcome of the bracket, Fournette steamrolls Carson and moves on into the second round. There, he will face the winner of Alvin Kamara and Jeremy McNichols. My expectation is for that to be a much tighter battle.
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