Gabriel and Hogan Topped 2016’s Receiving Efficiency Results
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Last offseason I introduced my metrics YPCOE and YPTOE, which stand for Yards Per Carry/Target Over Expectation respectively. I used them to identify season-long regression candidates for rushing and receiving efficiency, and it successfully identified Davante Adams and Dez Bryant as bounce-back candidates, while also correctly identifying Tyler Lockett and Sammy Watkins as players likely to regress. I’m going to do that again this year — for both rushing and receiving — but I’m going to expand upon what I did last year, because I’ve made significant improvements to the methodology, which has led to new insights.