Dynasty

2017 Senior WRs: 4 Rookie Bargains and a Potential Star

Since we began working on wide receivers with the birth of RotoViz in 2013, we’ve written hundreds of articles on the position. Most of them arrive at the same conclusion: Understanding age-adjusted market share production allows you to hack the NFL’s evaluation process and get tremendous bargains at the position. This was the message of Jon Moore’s Phenom Index, RotoDoc’s rookie WR model, Kevin Cole’s regression tree analysis, and my research that led to the selection of Stefon Diggs as last year’s breakout star. In Part 1, I mentioned some of the components likely to be included in the machine-learning model RotoDoc and Josh Hermsmeyer are currently building. Before we get to that point, it’s helpful to build a solid foundation. In this series, I will attempt to present the career raw and market share production of the 2017 class in an apples-to-apples format. Each experience sub-group will get their own article.

Subscribe to the best value in fantasy sports

You're all out of free reads for now and subscribing is the only way to make sure you don't ever miss an article.

By Shawn Siegele | @ff_contrarian | Archive

Comments   Add comment

  1. Where do you see Davis going in the rookie draft, assuming he doesn't end up on a team where he is buried on the depth chart?

  2. We have him at 1.03 pre-combine (in our guess of where players will go). I think there are a lot of scenarios where he falls to 1.05, but probably not much below that unless he goes somewhere extremely unfavorable.

Discuss this article on the RotoViz Forums