The Numbers Game

Embracing Variance Through Structure: Numbers Game 92

Episode 92 (February 22nd, 2017): The ninety-second episode of The Numbers Game (@NumbersGamePod), a sports analytics RotoViz Radio podcast.

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Host: Nick Giffen (@RotoDoc) Editor at RotoViz, Top-Five NASCAR DFS player, and Math Ph.D

Host: Josh Hermsmeyer (@friscojosh) Contributor at RotoViz


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Nick and Josh talk about Nick’s big win last week in NASCAR DFS, but more importantly how principles from that win can be applied to others fantasy sports. Specifically, they talk about embracing variance, for example, when finding buy-low players using players who have underperformed relative to their Air Yards. There’s also an important principle of using a well-structured approach to roster building or draft strategies to reduce the impact of variance, and let it play in your favor. They then talk about Josh’s recent work on understanding why teams punt, and why teams score touchdowns. Josh talks about the main drivers behind punting and touchdowns, and what fantasy implications could come from year-over-year punting regression.


Our theme music is by Black Ant.

To contact the show, reach out to us via Twitter (@NumbersGamePod) or email (

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