FantasyLabs DraftKings Week 16 Plays of the Week

December 23, 2016 | By Charles Kleinheksel

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Our writers will make use of FantasyLabs’ great tools, like Trends, Plus/Minus, and Vegas Lines, to offer our best DraftKings Week 16 GPP Plays of the Week.

As a reminder, we’ll be using FantasyLabs Plus/Minus metric to score our picks. The goal for our individual competitors then, is to recommend players eligible for each week’s Milly Maker slate that will accumulate the highest Plus/Minus. The prognosticator with the best total Plus/Minus at week’s end will pocket a handsome cash prize, courtesy of FantasyLabs and RotoViz. Along the way you, dear reader, will benefit from the recommendations made. Make sure to check out not only the RotoViz Apps, but the suite of FantasyLabs tools, to build your own lineups.

Week 15 Results

WRITER	WEEK 15 PLUS MINUS	YTD PLUS MINUS
Jason Lewis	27.18	238.38
Ben Bauer	20.36	98.49
Shawn Siegele	16	308.07
John Gambill	14.29	281.73
Tyler Buecher	13	233.68
Jacob Rickrode	10.42	249.84
Drew Heinl	10.41	171.09
Curtis Patrick	10.33	161.07
RotoDoc	7.91	122.27
Mike Beers	6.84	206.36
Eric Braun	-1.88	155.34
Anthony Amico	-2.78	56.75
George Fitopoulos	-3.52	263.1
Blair Andrews	-4.64	206.97
Aaron Butler	-7.31	155.54
Ben Gretch	-9.12	144.88
Devin McIntyre	-12.95	67.15

Congratulations to Jason Lewis for winning Week 15. It was a tough week for us overall, as our picks averaged just 5.5 points of plus/minus. Let’s see if we can get back on track.

Week 16 DraftKings Plays of the Week

Writer	QB	RB	WR	TE	DEF	Commentary
Jacob Rickrode	Drew Brees	Jordan Howard	Allen Robinson	Antonio Gates	Buffalo Defense	Antonio Gates has FantasyLabs highest ceiling for TEs this week. He's chasing the TE TD record and has 2 weeks left to score 3 TDs.
RotoDoc	Matt Barkley	Dion Lewis	Corey Coleman	Delanie Walker	Chicago Defense	Corey Coleman should avoid Casey Hayward and thus beat a low expected point total at only $3900. He should do so by a hefty margin, giving him a large plus/minus.
Ben Bauer	Derek Carr	Jonathan Stewart	Rishard Matthews	Cameron Brate	New England Defense	Matthews has a +4.7 +/- and 92% consistency rate on FantasyLabs and projected for 2-4% ownership.
Ben Gretch	Aaron Rodgers	Jay Ajayi	Davante Adams	Greg Olsen	New England Defense	Gambling lines suggest MIA-BUF will be a low-scoring, slow-paced game. If there is more scoring, particularly on Miami's side, it's a fair bet to come from Ajayi, who is well-positioned at 0-1 percent projected ownership against a team with the second most rush TDs allowed.
Shawn Siegele	Tom Brady	DeMarco Murray	DeAndre Hopkins	Jack Doyle	New England Defense	Doyle is an inexpensive way to play this week's projected shootout and a good way to exploit Oakland's poor TE defense. Doyle has bested expectation in 60 percent of his last 10 and FantasyLabs gives his a strong plus/minus with 30 percent upside.
Mike Beers	Blake Bortles	LeGarrette Blount	Travis Benjamin	Ryan Griffin	New England Defense	FantasyLabs has the Patriots projected for the highest plus/minus among defenses this week despite having the second highest salary. Welcome to New England, Mr. Petty.
Anthony Amico	Blake Bortles	Dion Lewis	DeAndre Hopkins	Coby Fleener	Oakland Defense	Fleener is the only part of this Saints offense going almost completely overlooked this week. Fantasy Labs projects him at an ownership percentage between two and four, and this game has a Vegas implied total of 52. According to the Fantasy Labs' trend tool, tight ends in games with at least a 50 point total average 7.23 DK points.
Eric Braun	Aaron Rodgers	Kenneth Farrow	Michael Thomas	Cameron Brate	San Diego Defense	I'm going with Farrow even after the pitiful performance last week because its the Browns stupid. The implied point total of 10.45 is very manageable to outperform considering Fantasylabs has this positional matchup as a +/- of 2.6.
Aaron Butler	Matt Barkley	Dion Lewis	DeVante Parker	Charles Clay	San Diego Defense	Clay is coming off his best game of the season and faces another soft defense this week. Miami has given up the fourth most points to TEs the past five weeks.
Curtis Patrick	Colin Kaepernick	Todd Gurley	Deandre Hopkins	Delanie Walker	San Diego Defense	San Diego is the play at defense this week, featuring one of the top +/ - scores and the highest ceiling of any defense per Fantasy Labs.
Tyler Buecher	Andrew Luck	Jordan Howard	Michael Thomas	Greg Olsen	San Diego Defense	The last time Greg Olsen played Atlanta, he finished with a stat line of 6-76-1 on 13 targets. The Falcons are allowing a +4.9 Plus/Minus to opposing tight ends and Olsen leads all tight ends with nine Pro Trends.
Blair Andrews	Jameis Winston	DeMarco Murray	Corey Coleman	Greg Olsen	San Francisco Defense	Terrelle Pryor is expected to be shadowed by Casey Heyward, which means Corey Coleman should see a lot of Trevor Williams, who's allowed 0.43 fantasy points per route run, per PFF. Coleman was targeted 11 times with RGIII under center two weeks ago, and his price has dropped $500 since then. FantasyLabs' currently projects his ownership to remain under one percent.
Drew Heinl	Blake Bortles	Jordan Howard	DeAndre Hopkins	Greg Olsen	Seattle Defense	I know it's Blake Bortles, but at minimum salary facing that awful beat up Titans secondary sounds too good to pass up. He has the third highest projected points per salary according to Fantasy Labs and also had his best game of the year against the Titans earlier in the season.
Jason Lewis	Kirk Cousins	LeSean McCoy	Michael Crabtree	Delanie Walker	Tennessee Defense	I'd expect Walker to be lower owned because of more popular guys in his salary tier, but the Jaguars have given up at least 17 points to opposing TEs in back to back games and Walker's 4.2 projected +/- by FantasyLabs is among the highest for TEs this week.
John Gambill	Drew Brees	DeMarco Murray	Michael Thomas	Greg Olsen	Tennessee Defense	Olsen has nine pro trends in his favor and is the top pass catcher on an offense that could end up in a shootout.

Frequency Table

QB	N	RB	N	WR	N	TE	N	DEF	N
Blake Bortles	3	DeMarco Murray	3	DeAndre Hopkins	4	Greg Olsen	5	New England Defense	4
Aaron Rodgers	2	Dion Lewis	3	Michael Thomas	3	Delanie Walker	3	San Diego Defense	4
Drew Brees	2	Jordan Howard	3	Corey Coleman	2	Cameron Brate	2	Tennessee Defense	2
Matt Barkley	2	Jay Ajayi	1	Allen Robinson	1	Antonio Gates	1	Buffalo Defense	1
Andrew Luck	1	Jonathan Stewart	1	Davante Adams	1	Charles Clay	1	Chicago Defense	1
Colin Kaepernick	1	Kenneth Farrow	1	DeVante Parker	1	Coby Fleener	1	Oakland Defense	1
Derek Carr	1	LeGarrette Blount	1	Michael Crabtree	1	Jack Doyle	1	San Francisco Defense	1
Jameis Winston	1	LeSean McCoy	1	Rishard Matthews	1	Ryan Griffin	1	Seattle Defense	1
Kirk Cousins	1	Todd Gurley	1	Travis Benjamin	1
Tom Brady	1