DFS (Daily Fantasy Sports)

FantasyLabs DraftKings Week 16 Plays of the Week

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Our writers will make use of FantasyLabs’ great tools, like TrendsPlus/Minus, and Vegas Lines, to offer our best DraftKings Week 16 GPP Plays of the Week.

As a reminder, we’ll be using FantasyLabs Plus/Minus metric to score our picks. The goal for our individual competitors then, is to recommend players eligible for each week’s Milly Maker slate that will accumulate the highest Plus/Minus. The prognosticator with the best total Plus/Minus at week’s end will pocket a handsome cash prize, courtesy of FantasyLabs and RotoViz. Along the way you, dear reader, will benefit from the recommendations made. Make sure to check out not only the RotoViz Apps, but the suite of FantasyLabs tools, to build your own lineups.

Week 15 Results

WRITER WEEK 15 PLUS MINUS YTD PLUS MINUS
Jason Lewis 27.18 238.38
Ben Bauer 20.36 98.49
Shawn Siegele 16 308.07
John Gambill 14.29 281.73
Tyler Buecher 13 233.68
Jacob Rickrode 10.42 249.84
Drew Heinl 10.41 171.09
Curtis Patrick 10.33 161.07
RotoDoc 7.91 122.27
Mike Beers 6.84 206.36
Eric Braun -1.88 155.34
Anthony Amico -2.78 56.75
George Fitopoulos -3.52 263.1
Blair Andrews -4.64 206.97
Aaron Butler -7.31 155.54
Ben Gretch -9.12 144.88
Devin McIntyre -12.95 67.15

Congratulations to Jason Lewis for winning Week 15. It was a tough week for us overall, as our picks averaged just 5.5 points of plus/minus. Let’s see if we can get back on track.

Week 16 DraftKings Plays of the Week

WriterQBRBWRTEDEFCommentary
Jacob RickrodeDrew BreesJordan HowardAllen RobinsonAntonio GatesBuffalo DefenseAntonio Gates has FantasyLabs highest ceiling for TEs this week. He's chasing the TE TD record and has 2 weeks left to score 3 TDs.
RotoDocMatt BarkleyDion LewisCorey ColemanDelanie WalkerChicago DefenseCorey Coleman should avoid Casey Hayward and thus beat a low expected point total at only $3900. He should do so by a hefty margin, giving him a large plus/minus.
Ben BauerDerek CarrJonathan StewartRishard MatthewsCameron BrateNew England DefenseMatthews has a +4.7 +/- and 92% consistency rate on FantasyLabs and projected for 2-4% ownership.
Ben GretchAaron RodgersJay AjayiDavante AdamsGreg OlsenNew England DefenseGambling lines suggest MIA-BUF will be a low-scoring, slow-paced game. If there is more scoring, particularly on Miami's side, it's a fair bet to come from Ajayi, who is well-positioned at 0-1 percent projected ownership against a team with the second most rush TDs allowed.
Shawn SiegeleTom BradyDeMarco MurrayDeAndre HopkinsJack DoyleNew England DefenseDoyle is an inexpensive way to play this week's projected shootout and a good way to exploit Oakland's poor TE defense. Doyle has bested expectation in 60 percent of his last 10 and FantasyLabs gives his a strong plus/minus with 30 percent upside.
Mike BeersBlake BortlesLeGarrette BlountTravis BenjaminRyan GriffinNew England DefenseFantasyLabs has the Patriots projected for the highest plus/minus among defenses this week despite having the second highest salary. Welcome to New England, Mr. Petty.
Anthony AmicoBlake BortlesDion LewisDeAndre HopkinsCoby FleenerOakland DefenseFleener is the only part of this Saints offense going almost completely overlooked this week. Fantasy Labs projects him at an ownership percentage between two and four, and this game has a Vegas implied total of 52. According to the Fantasy Labs' trend tool, tight ends in games with at least a 50 point total average 7.23 DK points.
Eric BraunAaron RodgersKenneth FarrowMichael ThomasCameron BrateSan Diego DefenseI'm going with Farrow even after the pitiful performance last week because its the Browns stupid. The implied point total of 10.45 is very manageable to outperform considering Fantasylabs has this positional matchup as a +/- of 2.6.
Aaron ButlerMatt BarkleyDion LewisDeVante ParkerCharles ClaySan Diego DefenseClay is coming off his best game of the season and faces another soft defense this week. Miami has given up the fourth most points to TEs the past five weeks.
Curtis PatrickColin KaepernickTodd GurleyDeandre HopkinsDelanie WalkerSan Diego DefenseSan Diego is the play at defense this week, featuring one of the top +/ - scores and the highest ceiling of any defense per Fantasy Labs.
Tyler BuecherAndrew LuckJordan HowardMichael ThomasGreg OlsenSan Diego DefenseThe last time Greg Olsen played Atlanta, he finished with a stat line of 6-76-1 on 13 targets. The Falcons are allowing a +4.9 Plus/Minus to opposing tight ends and Olsen leads all tight ends with nine Pro Trends.
Blair AndrewsJameis WinstonDeMarco MurrayCorey ColemanGreg OlsenSan Francisco DefenseTerrelle Pryor is expected to be shadowed by Casey Heyward, which means Corey Coleman should see a lot of Trevor Williams, who's allowed 0.43 fantasy points per route run, per PFF. Coleman was targeted 11 times with RGIII under center two weeks ago, and his price has dropped $500 since then. FantasyLabs' currently projects his ownership to remain under one percent.
Drew HeinlBlake BortlesJordan HowardDeAndre HopkinsGreg OlsenSeattle DefenseI know it's Blake Bortles, but at minimum salary facing that awful beat up Titans secondary sounds too good to pass up. He has the third highest projected points per salary according to Fantasy Labs and also had his best game of the year against the Titans earlier in the season.
Jason LewisKirk CousinsLeSean McCoyMichael CrabtreeDelanie WalkerTennessee DefenseI'd expect Walker to be lower owned because of more popular guys in his salary tier, but the Jaguars have given up at least 17 points to opposing TEs in back to back games and Walker's 4.2 projected +/- by FantasyLabs is among the highest for TEs this week.
John GambillDrew BreesDeMarco MurrayMichael ThomasGreg OlsenTennessee DefenseOlsen has nine pro trends in his favor and is the top pass catcher on an offense that could end up in a shootout.

Frequency Table

QB N RB N WR N TE N DEF N
Blake Bortles 3 DeMarco Murray 3 DeAndre Hopkins 4 Greg Olsen 5 New England Defense 4
Aaron Rodgers 2 Dion Lewis 3 Michael Thomas 3 Delanie Walker 3 San Diego Defense 4
Drew Brees 2 Jordan Howard 3 Corey Coleman 2 Cameron Brate 2 Tennessee Defense 2
Matt Barkley 2 Jay Ajayi 1 Allen Robinson 1 Antonio Gates 1 Buffalo Defense 1
Andrew Luck 1 Jonathan Stewart 1 Davante Adams 1 Charles Clay 1 Chicago Defense 1
Colin Kaepernick 1 Kenneth Farrow 1 DeVante Parker 1 Coby Fleener 1 Oakland Defense 1
Derek Carr 1 LeGarrette Blount 1 Michael Crabtree 1 Jack Doyle 1 San Francisco Defense 1
Jameis Winston 1 LeSean McCoy 1 Rishard Matthews 1 Ryan Griffin 1 Seattle Defense 1
Kirk Cousins 1 Todd Gurley 1 Travis Benjamin 1
Tom Brady 1

 

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @ | Archive

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