Dynasty

CFB Chronicles: D’Onta Foreman Catching Fire

D’Onta Foreman has yet to reach the levels of greatness achieved by former Texas Longhorns’ running backs like Earl Campbell, Ricky Williams, Jamaal Charles, and Cedric Benson. But if his performance this season is any indicator, he could be well on his way.

Now boasting 10 consecutive games with 100 yards rushing or more, Foreman has quickly become one of the most consistent RBs in the country. Can we expect this dominance to continue?

The Streak

Basic counting stats can often times be overrated, but in this case, reviewing what Foreman has done over his past 10 games is well worth it:

OpponentRushesruYDSruTDS
Kansas121572
West Virginia181471
Notre Dame241311
California211572
Oklahoma State171482
Oklahoma 251592
Iowa State301361
Kansas State241240
Baylor322502
Texas Tech333413

In 12 career games with 10 or more carries, Foreman has failed to reach 100 yards rushing just once, last season against Kansas State. Foreman and the hyper-productive Donnel Pumphrey are the only players in the country to rush for 100 yards or more in every game played this season.

Foreman is averaging 175 yards rushing and 1.6 rushing touchdowns per game during this 10-game streak, and while it may feel like I’m harping heavily on his production during this time frame, it needs to be established how dominate and how rare a feat like this is in today’s college football.

Dominating Market Share

As we preach every week, market share of touches, yards and touchdowns are superior to plain counting stats when trying to get an idea of a player’s true level of dominance. When we look at Foreman’s market share metrics for the 2016 season compared to Florida State’s Dalvin Cook and Stanford’s Christian McCaffrey, it’s clear that he belongs in the top-end RB discussion.

NameGamesmsRUSHmsRUYDSmsRUTDS
D'Onta Foreman848.163.454.2
Dalvin Cook955.765.452.2
Christian McCaffrey851.861.575

One snag in Foreman’s profile is his lack of pass-catching production. Foreman has just 9 catches in 24 career games, a glaring difference compared to Cook and McCaffrey, both of whom have shown receiving proficiency throughout their careers.

Foreman does average a respectable 12.8 yards per catch, potentially signaling that he could be a competent pass-catcher in the future, given more opportunity.

As A Prospect

With 591 yards rushing over the last two games, Foreman has pushed his way to the fringe of Heisman Trophy discussion. And although Baylor and Texas Tech – Foreman’s opponents in those games – both rank 100th or worse in rush defense on a per game basis this season, the hype is deserved.

Respected draft analyst Lane Zierlein highlighted Foreman’s strengths in a recent tweet:

Listed at 6-foot-1, 249 pounds, Foreman is bigger than almost every NFL RB, which could affect his draft evaluation. We need look no further than critiques of Derrick Henry’s outlier size to see the stubbornness displayed by some NFL personnel, relying on long-held positional archetypes.

Foreman’s lack of proven pass-catching is also another potential ding, but his strong market share metrics and strong pass-protection skills, combined with the sheer amount of counting stats accumulated make Foreman an extremely interesting prospect.

While he may not be Williams, Benson, Campbell, or Charles, D’Onta Foreman’s stock is undoubtedly rising by the minute.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Wnyr4yT9nZs

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By Jordan Hoover | @jhoover9787 | Archive

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