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Tim Talmadge’s 10 Bold Predictions For 2016

The RotoViz team has been breaking out the crystal ball to give you their 10 bold predictions for 2016.

Remember, these are predictions which exist just barely on the edge of plausibility. Will they happen? Probably not. But they might.

Here are mine:

1. LESEAN MCCOY WILL LEAD THE NFL IN RUSHING ATTEMPTS

This is pretty simple. The Buffalo Bills were second in the NFL in rushing attempts last season but McCoy only played in 12 games. Over his career he’s been one of the more durable RBs and should be the clear number one guy over the Williams’.

It’s not surprising that 14teammocker believes the stars are aligning for LeSean McCoy to breakout all over again

2. ALSHON JEFFERY WILL BE THIS YEAR’S DEANDRE HOPKINS

As Autoerotique once said, turn up the volume! If you don’t know who that is great cause I don’t know who that is either. The point is, Hopkins ended up as the top fantasy WR last season even though he was drafted outside of the top 10 receivers. He was able to overcome a bad quarterback situation due to massive target volume and help lead many of his owners to a championship.

NAME OFF TRGS TRGMS reEP reFPOE reFPOEPT
DeAndre Hopkins HOU 192 0.313 272.63 56.47 0.29
Alshon Jeffery CHI 94 0.313 137.42 21.28 0.23

Alshon Jeffery compared pretty favorably to Hopkins  in terms of both target MS and efficiency last season which suggests he was pacing for similar numbers in the games he played. Currently Jeffery is going as the WR14 and there’s no reason to think he can’t receive that same heavy workload.

As Ben Gretch said: We’re Too Low on Alshon Jeffery

3. CHRISTINE MICHAEL WILL BE RELEASED BY SEATTLE AGAIN

There’s been reports out of Seahawks camp that Michael will split carries with last year’s breakout Thomas Rawls. While I’m a bit skeptical, our 14TeamMocker believes this is the year you should be buying into the hype. The thing is the team went out of it’s way to load up on the RB position in the offseason and they should be well aware what they have in Michael by now. The team released him last year and brought him back when they were desperate for depth. If Rawls proves to be healthy or the up and coming C.J. Prosise can carve out a role, C-Mike will find himself unemployed once again.

4. JULIO JONES WILL BE NFL AND FANTASY MVP

The consensus belief is that Antonio Brown should be the No. 1 pick in fantasy drafts this year and that’s understandable. I mean Brown had 136 receptions for 1,834 yards. What some may not realize is Julio also had 136 receptions and had slightly more yardage. The real difference between the two was getting into the end zone. Jones has only had one double digit touchdown season in his career and considering his size and his elite talent, I would think that has to change at some point. Even Calvin Johnson (the world’s unluckiest TD scorer) was able to post multiple 12 touchdown seasons. I see Julio finally getting to that mark this year and also breaking the aforementioned Megatron’s receiving record to post the greatest fantasy season of all-time.

Mike Braude also believes Julio is a good bet to finish as the WR1.

 5. DEVONTAE BOOKER WILL BE BRONCOS STARTING RB BY HALLOWEEN

As I pointed out in my “Guy behind the guy” article, C.J. Anderson has traditionally been a slow starter.

devontaebookerfantasy

Fortunately having Ronnie Hillman and Juwan Thompson as your backups kind of gives you a long leash. Now with a workhorse rookie in town, I believe he’ll be sitting on the bench before we hit mid-season.

Profile and potential opportunity makes Booker one of the top candidates to be this year’s Deangelo Williams.

6. CHASE DANIEL WILL BE A USABLE FANTASY QB

1- Doug Pederson has a history with running QBs and brought Daniel to Philly.

2- Sam Bradford isn’t quite terrible but he never gave us that 50 TD season so fuck him.

3- The Eagles will have Jordan Matthews, Zach Ertz and Dorial Green Beckham in the red zone.

#YOLO

7. DION LEWIS JOINS THE 200 ATTEMPTS/100 TARGETS CLUB

In seven games last season Lewis was pacing for 112 rushing attempts and 114 targets. This season the team will be without Tom Brady to start the first month and I believe they will opt to lean on the run more. While some would suspect this means big things for the plodding Legarrette Blount or the guy behind him Tyler Gaffney, I think the team will want the ball in the hands of its most versatile weapon. His health will be key here but Lewis may be in line to do what only nine other players have done.

If you don’t buy into that, Anthony Amico also has 6 reasons you should be drafting Dion Lewis in 2016.

8. JIMMY GRAHAM WILL BE A TOP 5 TIGHT END AGAIN

Only Dez Bryant and Rob Gronkowski have scored more touchdowns in the first 90 games of their career.  The team doesn’t have Marshawn Lynch to lean on anymore and Russell Wilson has developed into one of the most efficient QBs in the NFL. Graham was getting roughly seven targets per game in 2015. If the volume gets bumped even slightly he could get back to the 120-130 targets he used to see in New Orleans.

9. TWO RAVENS RUNNING BACKS WILL HAVE 50 RECEPTIONS

 Jacob Rickrode had this to say about chasing league winning play caller Marc Trestman’s offenses:
If you combine the starts of Forsett and Allen as the lead RB, they combined for 240 points, and would have finished as the RB5. Ben Gretch gives an excellent analysis of coaching trends by position. Trestman is second to Sean Payton in terms of RB targets. Time will tell who actually leads this backfield in touches…
Keep in mind they did this without a healthy Joe Flacco and this year he really doesn’t have any good receivers to throw the ball to. Reports out of Ravens camp say Mike Wallace has looked “awesome.” The problem I have with Wallace is that he hasn’t had a 1,000 yard season since Pittsburgh. Considering Breshad Perriman can’t stay on the field and Steve Smith hasn’t run a 4.4 since the Bush presidency, they should be considered thin at WR, and no TE has proven to be dependable at all. I can’t tell you whether it’ll be Forsett, Allen, Terrance West or the rookie Kenneth Dixon, but this is a backfield you should be investing in.

10. JOSH DOCTSON WILL OUTSCORE ALL THE KICKERS GOING BEFORE HIM

I don’t give a shit if he turns 30 before the season starts. If Jordan Reed goes down (again) he’ll be in a great position to be this years Kelvin Benjamin and he’s going in the 14th round.

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By Tim Talmadge | @FullOnTLT | Archive

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