Advice

Wisdom of the Sharks – Who Do High Stakes Players Like in Startup Dynasty Drafts?

In this post I’ll look at dynasty startup ADP data from our friends at the FFPC. If you aren’t familiar, FFPC recently launched some mid-stakes dynasty leagues where you can enter for $250 (along with a deposit for the following year in case you totally tank your team and bail on the league). FFPC runs fun contests with two flex spots and TE premium scoring so they’re a natural for anyone looking for a challenge that might be a little more dynamic than a $50 home dynasty league.

One thing that is becoming increasingly apparent in 2016 is that WRs are commanding a premium. In fact, they’re commanding such a premium that I’m going to look at the potential of going RB early in some future posts. While Zero RB is a great (and dominant) strategy, my experience with it has been limited to leagues where you really can fill out all your starter and flex spots with high value receivers. If you can’t do that because those players are all gone by round four then it’s worth revisiting. This will require some number crunching that I’ll be doing soon, so stay tuned.

In the table below you’ll notice that 36 of the top 60 picks are WRs, while only 12 are RBs. So you really could start a draft and get 5 of the top 12 dynasty RBs. Even though RBs are super unreliable, the potential to get 5 of the top 12 is really enticing.

Let us know in the comments what else stands out from this data.

NAMETMPOSOVRN
ODELL BECKHAMNYGWR1.2917
ANTONIO BROWNPITWR2.2917
DEANDRE HOPKINSHOUWR3.2417
JULIO JONESATLWR4.5917
ALLEN ROBINSONJACWR6.5317
AMARI COOPEROAKWR7.2417
ROB GRONKOWSKINETE7.2417
TODD GURLEYLARB8.1817
EZEKIEL ELLIOTTDALRB8.9417
MIKE EVANSTBWR8.9417
LEVEON BELLPITRB10.8217
AJ GREENCINWR12.7117
SAMMY WATKINSBUFWR12.8817
DEZ BRYANTDALWR13.6517
KEENAN ALLENSDWR14.8217
DAVID JOHNSONARIRB16.3517
BRANDIN COOKSNOWR17.5317
ALSHON JEFFERYCHIWR18.1817
KEVIN WHITECHIWR20.1217
DEVANTE PARKERMIAWR21.8817
LAMAR MILLERHOURB22.8217
DEMARYIUS THOMASDENWR23.2917
TY HILTONINDWR23.8817
DEVONTA FREEMANATLRB24.8217
JARVIS LANDRYMIAWR25.1817
RANDALL COBBGBWR26.5016
DONTE MONCRIEFINDWR27.6316
KELVIN BENJAMINCARWR29.4416
JORDAN REEDWASTE30.8116
JORDAN MATTHEWSPHIWR30.8816
COREY COLEMANCLEWR32.1316
TYLER EIFERTCINTE32.6316
LAQUON TREADWELLMINWR33.1817
CAM NEWTONCARQB35.3116
JOSH DOCTSONWASWR35.6316
ANDREW LUCKINDQB35.8816
JORDY NELSONGBWR35.8817
TRAVIS KELCEKCTE38.1916
DORIAL GREEN BECKHAMTENWR39.6916
EDDIE LACYGBRB40.3116
MICHAEL FLOYDARIWR41.2015
ADRIAN PETERSONMINRB41.2417
JEREMY MACLINKCWR45.6316
CARLOS HYDESFRB47.0015
GREG OLSENCARTE48.8116
GOLDEN TATEDETWR48.9315
BRANDON MARSHALLNYJWR49.1316
DOUG MARTINTBRB49.2516
TYLER LOCKETTSEAWR51.9416
MARK INGRAMNORB52.4416
AARON RODGERSGBQB52.5315
JAMAAL CHARLESKCRB53.1316
ZACH ERTZPHITE53.8715
COBY FLEENERNOTE54.8715
RUSSELL WILSONSEAQB55.6015
BRESHAD PERRIMANBALWR56.0016
JOHN BROWNARIWR56.0015
STERLING SHEPARDNYGWR58.0014
JULIAN EDELMANNEWR60.0715
ERIC EBRONDETTE60.9315
DERRICK HENRYTENRB61.5714
THOMAS RAWLSSEARB63.5315
MELVIN GORDONSDRB63.6213
CJ ANDERSONDENRB65.8015
ALLEN HURNSJACWR66.2015
TJ YELDONJACRB67.7114
LADARIUS GREENPITTE68.8715
LESEAN MCCOYBUFRB69.6015
AUSTIN SEFERIAN JENKINSTBTE69.6213
EMMANUEL SANDERSDENWR69.7114
JEREMY HILLCINRB71.8614
DUKE JOHNSONCLERB72.6414
GIOVANI BERNARDCINRB74.2715
ERIC DECKERNYJWR74.5714
MICHAEL THOMASNOWR74.7914
MATT JONESWASRB75.9314
DELANIE WALKERTENTE76.8614
DOUG BALDWINSEAWR76.9213
DION LEWISNERB77.6414
JAY AJAYIMIARB78.0714
WILL FULLERHOUWR79.8312
AMEER ABDULLAHDETRB80.7114
STEFON DIGGSMINWR81.0813
JULIUS THOMASJACTE82.9314
DEVIN FUNCHESSCARWR83.3614
KENNETH DIXONBALRB83.7114
MATT FORTENYJRB83.9314
LATAVIUS MURRAYOAKRB87.4613
DEVONTAE BOOKERDENRB89.5812
MARVIN JONESDETWR89.6213
JEREMY LANGFORDCHIRB91.6913
DEMARCO MURRAYTENRB94.0013
JAMEIS WINSTONTBQB95.9213
TYLER BOYDCINWR97.3312
RYAN MATHEWSPHIRB97.5012
NELSON AGHOLORPHIWR97.7512
MICHAEL CRABTREEOAKWR98.7713
CJ PROSISESEARB99.9213
HUNTER HENRYSDTE100.0012
LARRY FITZGERALDARIWR101.0812
MARTAVIS BRYANTPITWR101.9212
JOSH GORDONCLEWR102.2512
BEN ROETHLISBERGERPITQB103.5014
PHILLIP DORSETTINDWR104.3312
CLIVE WALFORDOAKTE104.5012
LEONTE CARROOMIAWR106.2512
DWAYNE ALLENINDTE106.4613
GARY BARNIDGECLETE106.6712
TEVIN COLEMANATLRB108.4212
KARLOS WILLIAMSBUFRB110.0812
BLAKE BORTLESJACQB110.3813
TRE MASONLARB111.001
CHARLES SIMSTBRB111.0812
ISAIAH CROWELLCLERB113.0011
PAUL PERKINSNYGRB113.0011
JERICK MCKINNONMINRB114.7512
JORDAN HOWARDCHIRB115.4613
MARCUS MARIOTATENQB116.1513
DANNY WOODHEADSDRB116.3611
JIMMY GRAHAMSEATE116.4212
JONATHAN STEWARTCARRB119.2711
DREW BREESNOQB119.3113
SAMMIE COATESPITWR119.8312
THEO RIDDICKDETRB120.2512
DEREK CARROAKQB121.0011
WILLIE SNEADNOWR121.8312
MARTELLUS BENNETTNETE123.4511
DESEAN JACKSONWASWR127.0911
DEANDRE SMELTERSFWR128.1712
AUSTIN HOOPERATLTE128.1811
TRAVIS BENJAMINSDWR128.6712
TAVON AUSTINLAWR132.0812
WENDELL SMALLWOODPHIRB133.7311
MAXX WILLIAMSBALTE135.6411
MARKUS WHEATONPITWR135.8211
KENYAN DRAKEMIARB136.3312
KEITH MARSHALLWASRB136.6411
CHRIS IVORYJACRB137.9111
ANTONIO GATESSDTE138.2512
TORREY SMITHSFWR140.0011
DEANDRE WASHINGTONOAKRB140.9111
MALCOLM MITCHELLNEWR142.5511
FRANK GOREINDRB143.3611
DAVANTE ADAMSGBWR144.4511
JASON WITTENDALTE144.9111
TOM BRADYNEQB145.2512
DEANGELO WILLIAMSPITRB148.0911
CHARLES CLAYBUFTE151.3611
ARIAN FOSTERFARB152.3611
PHAROH COOPERLAWR152.5511
JONATHAN WILLIAMSBUFRB153.5511
KENDALL WRIGHTTENWR153.7311
ZACH MILLERCHITE154.5010
JAVORIUS ALLENBALRB155.7311
JORDAN CAMERONMIATE156.0911
MATTHEW STAFFORDDETQB156.8211
MOHAMED SANUATLWR157.0010
JUSTIN FORSETTBALRB162.0010
JEFF JANISGBWR162.1010
TYLER HIGBEELATE162.6411
KYLE RUDOLPHMINTE163.3010
ELI MANNINGNYGQB164.4010
TYLER ERVINHOURB166.1010
CHARCANDRICK WESTKCRB167.5010
WILL TYENYGTE168.2010
PHILIP RIVERSSDQB168.3010
MATT RYANATLQB169.569
KENNY BELLTBWR169.8010
CARSON PALMERARIQB171.1010
BRAXTON MILLERHOUWR171.789
JARED COOKGBTE172.5511
RYAN TANNEHILLMIAQB172.6411
RASHARD HIGGINSCLEWR173.754
STEPHEN GOSTKOWSKINEPK173.9010
JERMAINE KEARSESEAWR175.001
JORDAN PAYTONCLEWR175.001
ARI TEAM DEFENSEARIDF175.7010
CHRIS HOGANNEWR175.7311
RASHAD JENNINGSNYGRB175.9010
KIRK COUSINSWASQB176.3010
DEN TEAM DEFENSEDENDF176.9010
ALFRED MORRISDALRB177.003
JAMISON CROWDERWASWR177.007
CHRIS CONLEYKCWR178.119
MIKE THOMASLAWR178.2010
VANCE MCDONALDSFTE179.1811
JEFF HEUERMANDENTE179.2010
ANDY DALTONCINQB181.569
SPENCER WAREKCRB181.676
TONY ROMODALQB181.676
ALEX COLLINSSEARB184.009
JACE AMARONYJTE184.007
STEVE SMITHBALWR184.0011
JOSH FERGUSONINDRB184.339
JAMES STARKSGBRB185.4010
SEA TEAM DEFENSESEADF186.3010
JAELEN STRONGHOUWR186.336
ROB HOUSLERCHITE187.001
DEVIN SMITHNYJWR188.001
KAMAR AIKENBALWR188.506
CHRIS JOHNSONARIRB188.673
SHANE VEREENNYGRB188.789
DARREN MCFADDENDALRB189.004
ROBERT WOODSBUFWR189.005
TY MONTGOMERYGBWR189.437
BROCK OSWEILERHOUQB190.333
CJ SPILLERNORB191.508
BILAL POWELLNYJRB191.789
CAR TEAM DEFENSECARDF192.1010
RICHARD RODGERSGBTE192.205
RISHARD MATTHEWSTENWR192.8010
CAMERON ARTIS PAYNECARRB193.297
TERRELL WATSONCLERB193.754
RICARDO LOUISCLEWR194.002
MIKE WALLACEBALWR194.437
PIERRE GARCONWASWR194.6010
TAJAE SHARPETENWR195.0010
KEYARRIS GARRETTCARWR196.258
MARQISE LEEJACWR196.502
KENJON BARNERPHIRB197.001
HOU TEAM DEFENSEHOUDF197.9010
PIT TEAM DEFENSEPITDF198.003
BRUCE ELLINGTONSFWR199.717
VINCENT JACKSONTBWR200.638
VIRGIL GREENDENTE201.001
DARREN SPROLESPHIRB201.502
MIKE DAVISSFRB201.676
JACOB TAMMEATLTE202.001
JARED GOFFLAQB202.638
ANDRE ELLINGTONARIRB203.001
BENJAMIN WATSONBALTE203.007
JESSE JAMESPITTE203.001
OAK TEAM DEFENSEOAKDF203.673
ZACH ZENNERDETRB205.008
LEGARRETTE BLOUNTNERB205.717
DEMARCUS ROBINSONKCWR206.001
JAY CUTLERCHIQB206.001
COLIN KAEPERNICKSFQB207.001
CARSON WENTZPHIQB207.297
KC TEAM DEFENSEKCDF207.569
CAMERON BRATETBTE208.003
TERRANCE WILLIAMSDALWR208.003
CHRIS THOMPSONWASRB208.502
MYCOLE PRUITTMINTE208.502
MARSHAWN LYNCHSEARB209.005
JUSTIN TUCKERBALPK209.569
TYROD TAYLORBUFQB209.805
BRANDON COLEMANNOWR211.001
CODY LATIMERDENWR211.001
NILES PAULWASTE211.002
ROBERTO AGUAYOTBPK211.758
DANIEL BRAVERMANCHIWR212.001
TYLER KROFTCINTE212.437
RUEBEN RANDLEPHIWR212.502
BRIAN QUICKLAWR213.002
DANIEL LASCONORB213.405
CHRIS MOOREBALWR213.754
JJ NELSONARIWR215.003
NE TEAM DEFENSENEDF216.336
BRANDON MCMANUSDENPK217.009
DAN BAILEYDALPK217.388
LANCE KENDRICKSLATE218.001
BRANDON LAFELLCINWR218.333
TB TEAM DEFENSETBDF218.805
ALFRED BLUEHOURB219.001
CALVIN JOHNSONDETWR219.002
CHRISTINE MICHAELSEARB219.333
STL TEAM DEFENSELADF220.258
STEVEN HAUSCHKASEAPK220.679
VICTOR CRUZNYGWR220.754
GRAHAM GANOCARPK220.899
MIN TEAM DEFENSEMINDF221.005
TRE MADDENSEARB221.001
CHANDLER CATANZAROARIPK221.449
JAC TEAM DEFENSEJACDF222.333
CHRIS BOSWELLPITPK223.673
ERIC ROGERSSFWR223.673
DWAYNE WASHINGTONDETRB224.003
BRICE BUTLERDALWR225.502
CHARONE PEAKENYJWR227.001
NYJ TEAM DEFENSENYJDF227.004
PEYTON BARBERTBRB227.001
CIN TEAM DEFENSECINDF227.405
ADAM VINATIERIINDPK228.004
BAL TEAM DEFENSEBALDF228.001
KELVIN TAYLORSFRB229.002
JOSH BROWNNYGPK229.506
JACK DOYLEINDTE230.001
CAIRO SANTOSKCPK230.502
ROGER LEWISNYGWR230.502
BLAIR WALSHMINPK230.805
JUSTIN HARDYATLWR231.001
SEBASTIAN JANIKOWSKIOAKPK232.001
MASON CROSBYGBPK232.138
PHI TEAM DEFENSEPHIDF232.254
KENNY BRITTLAWR233.001
KADEEM CAREYCHIRB234.001
SF TEAM DEFENSESFDF234.502
JAMES WHITENERB234.673
BUF TEAM DEFENSEBUFDF235.004
MATT PRATERDETPK235.002
PAXTON LYNCHDENQB235.001
STEVIE JOHNSONSDWR235.001
SETH ROBERTSOAKWR238.001
TJ JONESDETWR240.001

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