Nick Kwiatkoski Jumps on the Radar and More IDP Scouting Updates
Charles Kleinheksel is keeping us updated on scouting sentiment at the offensive positions via the RotoViz Scouting Index (RSI). Here’s an IDP rookie version using a similar methodology.
Rotoworld, Walter Football, Ourlads, Draft Tek, CBS Sports, and Draft Geek are the sites used for the RSI. All six sites are publicly available and updated throughout frequently preceding the NFL Draft. Of those sites, three rank the inside linebacker position individually and here is the RSI for that position (the dates are the last dates updated by each site):1
|Player||CBS 3/22||Ourlads 2/16||Drafttek 3/29||Total Score||Rank|
|Reggie Ragland, Ala||10||9||10||29||1|
|Kentrell Brothers, Missouri||9||6||8||23||2|
|Tyler Matakevich, Temple||7||4||6||17||3|
|Scooby Wright, Arizona||5||7||5||17||4|
|Dominique Alexander, Okl||8||7||15||5|
|Blake Martinez, Stanford ILB||4||5||3||12||6|
|Myles Jack, UCLA||10||10||7|
|Jaylon Smith, ND||9||9||8|
|Josh Perry, Ohio St||8||8||9|
|Nick Vigil, Utah St||6||6||10|
|Josh Forrest, Kentucky||2||4||6||11|
|Jared Norris, Utah||3||1||4||12|
|Antonio Morrison, Florida ILB||3||3||13|
|Luke Rhodes, William & Mary||1||2||3||14|
|Nick Kwiatkoski, WV||2||2||15|
Some sites rank Myles Jack and Jaylon Smith as 4-3 outside linebackers if you’re wondering why they’re not ranked by all three sites.
The most seismic shift in post combine value among the inside linebackers was Scooby Wright. In the most recent defensive RSI, Wright was sitting in a good spot coming off an impressive bowl game performance. During the NFL combine his terrible forty and overall weak athletic scores were quite shocking. He was able to improve upon his 4.9 forty with a 4.8 at his pro day and improved in the agility drills as well so there is a little hope that his poor combine numbers might have been due to lingering effects of his injury during this past fall. His agent Drew Rosenhaus maintains that he’s a second round pick.
Among the six sites which feed into the RSI, Draft Tek dropped Wright entirely from their top 10 in their post-combine rankings but their recent update following his pro day they moved him up to their sixth spot behind Tyler Matakevich. Vontaze Burfict, Jarvis Jones and Brandon Spikes are the only notable linebackers in the last 10 seasons to have run a 4.9 or slower forty during the NFL combine. We also know that the forty time is the most predictive NFL combine measurement for an inside linebacker thanks to the Harvard Sports Analysis Collective and their recent study.
Overall I like that Wright improved at his pro day which gives me hope he could perform as an IDP asset as he’s shown the ability to be a tackle hog in college. However, his college resume and memorable name will likely have him drafted too high to be worth reaching for him at all.
Nick Vigil and Nick Kwiatkoski
Both Nick’s are barely on the RSI index but both strengthened their draft stock at the NFL Combine. Vigil posted two agility scores in the 95th percentile while Kwiatkoski showed a solid profile. Overall both are Reggie Ragland arbitrage when looking at athleticism and college production. Vigil’s closest comp at Mock Draftable is James Laurinaitis while Kwiatkoski comps to 2014 rookie sensation Kiko Alonso. For whatever reason Draft Tek isn’t showing either any love and only Kwiatkoski appears in their 25-deep rankings at any LB position as a depth 4-3 outside linebacker. However, while not a part of the RSI, Pro Football Focus notes on their recent big board that Kwiatkoski ranked fourth in the draft class as a run defender and fifth in coverage so you have to like his three down potential. He could be a terrific value in rookie drafts.
Both were productive in college with Vigil hitting 144 plus combine tackles this past season.
|2012||West Virginia||Big 12||SO||DB||0||17||11||28||0||0||0||3||0||0|
|2013||West Virginia||Big 12||SO||LB||10||54||32||86||6.5||2||3||0||1||2|
|2014||West Virginia||Big 12||JR||LB||12||67||29||96||10.5||0||0||2||0||0|
|2015||West Virginia||Big 12||SR||LB||13||62||23||85||11.5||4||3||5||1||1|
Unfortunately Brothers ran a 4.89 forty as an outside linebacker during the NFL combine. He did however improve his forty at his pro day to 4.73. Overall he didn’t fall and bounce back the same as Wright did this draft season – perhaps due to a 72nd percentile 3-cone at the combine. Brothers and Wright are fairly equal to me right now. If they faced off in a Sweet 16 bracket at RotoViz I’d select Wright.
Any linebacker who’s 6 feet 4 inches, 232 pounds, and runs a 4.58 forty deserves our attention. His combine measurable at Mock Draftable draw comparisons to DeAndre Levy and Darryl Washington. So while he doesn’t yet appear on the RSI, he’s worth a mention as a late draft flyer.
He’s best suited as a 4-3 defensive tackle or a defensive end in a 3-4. His college production doesn’t really back up the hype. Nkemdiche is cooling off for Josh Norris at Rotoworld as he’s now ranked 41st overall on his big board. So if you’re not feeling Nkemdiche, you’re not alone.
My Top 10
At this point here’s my preferred order in terms of IDP dynasty relevance.
|4||Scooby Wright III||LB|
The only safe picks are the top three and then Ramsey. I really don’t want to draft any of Wright, Brothers or Lee as they have downside, and I don’t think their price will be right. Jalen Ramsey has Tyron Mathieu potential and in devy leagues I’m considering moving pieces around to acquire his rights.
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- Players are given a score based on the number of times, and how highly they’re ranked. Higher is better. (back)