Assessing the Landing Spots For 2016’s First Round Rookie Rookie Receivers
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There was a strong run of wide receivers taken in the second half of the first round of the NFL draft. We all want our dynasty rookie picks to quickly appreciate, and the best way for that to happen is for a rookie to start out with strong production in their first year. One of the biggest determining factors of whether a player is productive is his opportunity. Would Kelvin Benjamin have put up the same numbers if the Panthers’ receiving corps wasn’t so barren going into the 2015 draft? Would Odell Beckham Jr have become a first-year sensation if Victor Cruz didn’t tear his patellar tendon, leaving a target vacuum to fill? We can’t say for sure, but opportunity certainly lined up in favor of both. We updated out 2016 rookie wide receiver opportunity scores yesterday, and you can see earlier posts for more information. In essence, we’re trying to see which teams have quarterbacks much more highly rated than receivers (based on ADP), meaning a rookie could more easily surpass veterans on the roster. In yesterday’s first round, Corey Coleman, William Fuller, Josh Doctson and Laquon Treadwell were all selected by teams with a broad range of potential opportunity.