Update to the Cheatsheet App
A few people on the message boards asked what the best way is to leverage the Cheat Sheet app. I was trying to explain to them how I draft, which is roughly follow ADP with a slight emphasis toward players that we have ranked relatively higher at their position, when I realized that I could translate that process to a single number.
So I used my super impressive coding skills (generates code which would horrify anyone who actually knows how to code) and added a new column to the CSV output in the Cheat Sheet App. The new column, titled DRAFT_TARGET, is essentially a standardized number weighted 93 percent to ADP and 7 percent to the difference between our positional rank and the ADP positional rank. When you download your CSV you can simply sort descending by that column in Excel.
That number does a decent job of approximating the process I go through when I draft. I print out a cheat sheet ordered by ADP, cross names off as they’re selected, and am constantly looking ahead to see which player coming up represents the greatest relative bargain. Then I try to draft that player no sooner than I absolutely have to. But it also lets you take advantage of draft fallers too. For instance, I wrote this piece about Sammy Watkins earlier in the year. So wouldn’t you think that would preclude me from drafting Watkins? Maybe it should, but I own him on a team that I drafted a week ago. He fell to a spot where he seemed to represent value so I drafted him. By mixing ADP and our positional “equity” into a single number you’ll be able to draft both RotoViz bargains, and draft faller bargains. You still don’t have to follow that number exactly, but I wanted to add it to the sheet as an additional resource for valuation of players.
So if you want to see an ordering of players that is 93 percent weighted to ADP and then 7 percent weighted to our “equity” number, sort descending by DRAFT_TARGET.
Note that you’ll still want to make sure you’re using an ADP source that roughly approximates demand for players in your league. This also shouldn’t preclude you from following a draft strategy like Zero RB.