Drafting Peyton Manning or Drew Brees Instead of Andrew Luck Could Win Leagues
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Earlier in the summer I wrote about exploiting recency bias, and how people were overpaying for Rob Gronkowski and Andrew Luck because of something called Fear of Missing Out (FOMO). There is a frequently applied false correlation in fantasy football that the immediate future will resemble the immediate past, and it causes expectations to let price inflate beyond reason. The opposite of this is also true, and identifying the illogically cheap is just as fruitful as identifying the illogically expensive.