Doubt Brandon Marshall At Your Own Risk
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“Heaven has no rage like love to hatred turned” -W. Congreve This article is part of an ongoing series that explores ideas related to exploiting recency bias. The first concept, “chasing the dragon,” applies to Rob Gronkowski and Andrew Luck and can be found here. If players outperform their ADPs significantly, it creates a situation where they are drafted near their ceilings in the following year because everyone is infatuated. Betting that last year’s big hit will be this year’s big hit despite a lack of predictability and a dramatic change in price is the kind of natural flaw in thinking that can be used to your advantage. The second concept, exploiting emotionally fueled avoidance, helps us find underpriced assets. I first focused on how this seems to apply to Peyton Manning and Drew Brees; For wide receivers, I think it similarly applies to Brandon Marshall.