Advice

Way Too Early High Stakes Best Ball ADP

In a week’s time two of our writers, Kevin Cole and AJ Bessette, will face off against a slew of fantasy experts and high stakes players in the FFPC/Fantasy Mojo Pros vs. Joes competition. I chose Kevin and AJ to represent RotoViz for a couple of reasons. First, they both play the higher buy-in levels of the MFL10 contest, so they have some relevant game experience that they can bring to the table. But additionally they’ve both written articles on optimal best ball strategy. AJ probably has one of the most important best ball articles on the internet, while Kevin’s articles have focused on analyzing past results.

Over the course of the Pros vs. Joes competitions they’ve mostly been won by the Joes, aka the high stakes players. Last year was the first year that an industry “expert” won the contest, when RotoExperts’ Tim McCullough took home the top prize. I’d like to see that ratio swing more to the industry experts side simply because I know there are a lot of talented players that also write about fantasy.

To further that goal I think it helps the analysts to get more data on the format. The FFPC best ball format includes TE premium scoring so just knowing something like when Jimmy Graham is likely to come off the board is likely to help the analysts, who don’t play the FFPC format as often. Because the “experts” are playing lots of MFL10s now, and because they’re going to start having access to important data like ADP, I think it’s realistic to think that things will even out between the experts and the high stakes players.

Below is the ADP for the small number of drafts that have taken place over the last month. More content on this coming in advance of the Pros vs. Joes drafts. Note that if you want to follow along with the Pros vs. Joes drafts I think that the HSFF Hour Podcast will be broadcasting live each night while the drafts are going on.

Big thanks to Dave Gerczak of FFPC for getting me access to their draft data.

Also, note that while I titled this post “high stakes best ball ADP,” I should clarify. Some of the drafts are actually satellite drafts where people are trying to win the league to play their way into bigger contests. They have a wide range of buy-ins available.

NAMEPOSADPDRAFTEDPOS.ADP
Rob GronkowskiTE2.6771
Le'Veon BellRB3.0771
Antonio BrownWR3.7371
Adrian PetersonRB3.872
Jamaal CharlesRB4.8773
Eddie LacyRB6.0374
Odell BeckhamWR7.9772
Matt ForteRB8.5375
Julio JonesWR9.8773
Demaryius ThomasWR9.9374
Dez BryantWR10.0375
Marshawn LynchRB13.7776
Calvin JohnsonWR14.0776
Arian FosterRB14.8777
C.J. AndersonRB15.178
DeMarco MurrayRB15.2379
Jordy NelsonWR15.577
LeSean McCoyRB18.37710
A.J. GreenWR19.678
Jimmy GrahamTE20.2772
Jeremy HillRB21.17711
Randall CobbWR21.8779
Andrew LuckQB22.4371
Justin ForsettRB23.93712
Alshon JefferyWR25.23710
Aaron RodgersQB25.972
T.Y. HiltonWR26.27711
Mike EvansWR27.87712
Brandin CooksWR31.97713
Emmanuel SandersWR32.07714
Travis KelceTE32.1373
Frank GoreRB33.33713
Greg OlsenTE34.4774
DeAndre HopkinsWR34.53715
Lamar MillerRB35.8714
C.J. SpillerRB37.03715
Melvin GordonRB37.43716
Andre EllingtonRB37.53717
Kelvin BenjaminWR40.2716
Mark IngramRB40.47718
Andre JohnsonWR43.27717
Jordan MatthewsWR43.53718
Alfred MorrisRB43.57719
Julian EdelmanWR46.13719
Golden TateWR46.93720
Latavius MurrayRB47.77720
Carlos HydeRB48.33721
Martellus BennettTE48.6375
Keenan AllenWR50.03721
Giovani BernardRB50.47722
Jonathan StewartRB50.8723
Todd GurleyRB55.43724
Brandon MarshallWR55.73722
Sammy WatkinsWR56.9723
T.J. YeldonRB57.33725
Joseph RandleRB57.5726
Julius ThomasTE58.4776
DeSean JacksonWR59.6724
Joique BellRB60.2727
Amari CooperWR60.63725
Martavis BryantWR61.33726
Jeremy MaclinWR61.37727
Russell WilsonQB62.9773
Jarvis LandryWR63.07728
Peyton ManningQB63.174
Zach ErtzTE64.277
Rashad JenningsRB70.23728
Drew BreesQB70.3375
Ameer AbdullahRB70.47729
Roddy WhiteWR72.2729
Vincent JacksonWR72.23730
Ben RoethlisbergerQB73.6776
Shane VereenRB74.73730
Allen RobinsonWR75.33731
Tevin ColemanRB77.67731
Jordan CameronTE78.2778
Jason WittenTE79.4779
Antonio GatesTE80.47710
Mike WallaceWR81.97732
LeGarrette BlountRB82.43732
Matt RyanQB82.8377
Delanie WalkerTE83.17711
Cam NewtonQB84.2378
Brandon LaFellWR84.8733
Nelson AgholorWR88.63734
Isaiah CrowellRB91.9733
Larry FitzgeraldWR92.03735
Tony RomoQB92.5379
Anquan BoldinWR92.67736
Tre MasonRB94.5734
Ryan TannehillQB94.9710
Tom BradyQB97711
Matthew StaffordQB97.4712
Duke JohnsonRB97.73735
Devonta FreemanRB98.43736
Steve SmithWR98.97737
Victor CruzWR99.77738
Doug MartinRB100.53737
Michael FloydWR101.47739
Eli ManningQB101.5713
Torrey SmithWR101.83740
Charles JohnsonWR102.33741
Chris IvoryRB102.87738
Ryan MathewsRB105.63739
Dwayne AllenTE107.8712
Kevin WhiteWR108.9742
Philip RiversQB108.97714
Eric DeckerWR109.27743
Owen DanielsTE110.23713
Darren McFaddenRB110.37740
Charles SimsRB110.67741
Josh HillTE110.77714
Tyler EifertTE113.6715
Davante AdamsWR114.4744
Kyle RudolphTE116.1716
Bishop SankeyRB116.33742
Marques ColstonWR117.2745
Pierre GarconWR117.43746
Reggie BushRB117.5743
Coby FleenerTE120.43717
David JohnsonRB122.33744
Danny WoodheadRB122.53745
Colin KaepernickQB123.43715
John BrownWR123.8747
Austin Seferian-JenkinsTE128.8718
Teddy BridgewaterQB128.9716
Knile DavisRB129.47746
Breshad PerrimanWR130.07748
Jay CutlerQB130.8717
Rueben RandleWR131.5749
Joe FlaccoQB135.33718
Charles ClayTE136.43719
David CobbRB136.5747
Kendall WrightWR137.27750
Jay AjayiRB137.57748
Heath MillerTE137.67720
Kenny StillsWR138.53751
Carson PalmerQB140.07719
DeVante ParkerWR140.1752
Darren SprolesRB140.47749
SEA Team DefenseDF141.471
Vernon DavisTE142.43721
Larry DonnellTE142.67722
Terrance WilliamsWR145.1753
Jordan ReedTE146723
Percy HarvinWR148.3754
Andy DaltonQB148.9720
Roy HeluRB151.5750
Montee BallRB151.87751
Jameis WinstonQB153.93721
Sam BradfordQB154.03722
Eric EbronTE155.23724
Fred JacksonRB159.73752
Donte MoncriefWR160.47755
BUF Team DefenseDF160.9372
HOU Team DefenseDF162.5773
Robert GriffinQB163.17723
Derek CarrQB163.57724
Doug BaldwinWR165.03756
Brian QuickWR168.07757
STL Team DefenseDF168.9374
Marvin JonesWR169.5758
Maxx WilliamsTE170.27725
Stephen GostkowskiPK17171
Nick FolesQB173.77725
Jerick McKinnonRB174.63753
DeAngelo WilliamsRB175.7754
Denard RobinsonRB176.1755
Jace AmaroTE176.73726
Alex SmithQB177.2726
Cody LatimerWR179.87759
NYJ Team DefenseDF180.175
Michael CrabtreeWR180.1760
James WhiteRB180.13756
Devin FunchessWR180.9761
MIA Team DefenseDF181.5776
Stevie JohnsonWR181.6762
Marcus MariotaQB181.83727
Blake BortlesQB182.43728
Dorial Green-BeckhamWR182.83763
Dan HerronRB184.13757
Jared CookTE184.63727
Adam VinatieriPK186.672
Ladarius GreenTE187.13728
Alfred BlueRB187.47758
ARI Team DefenseDF191.8777
PHI Team DefenseDF19278
Andre WilliamsRB193.17759
Eddie RoyalWR193.17764
Ahmad BradshawRB194.63760
Kenny BrittWR194.73765
DEN Team DefenseDF195.3379
Dwayne BoweWR196.73766
Richard RodgersTE198.53729
Dan BaileyPK200.4373
GB Team DefenseDF200.9710
Justin TuckerPK202.7774
Cody ParkeyPK203.7375
Steven HauschkaPK204.0776
Mychal RiveraTE204.27730
Mason CrosbyPK204.577
Malcom FloydWR204.83767
Matt JonesRB205.27761
Geno SmithQB205.77729
Phillip DorsettWR206.6768
BAL Team DefenseDF206.63711
James StarksRB207.13762
NE Team DefenseDF208.8712
CAR Team DefenseDF208.9713
Connor BarthPK211.9778
Cameron Artis-PayneRB212.03763
Theo RiddickRB212.97764
Terrance WestRB213.17765
Matt BryantPK213.879
Jaelen StrongWR220.67769
Branden OliverRB221.97766
Dan CarpenterPK222.5710
Mohamed SanuWR223.9770
Cole BeasleyWR224.17771
CIN Team DefenseDF224.7714
Shaun SuishamPK225.83711
Matt PraterPK226.57712
Javorius AllenRB227.77767
CLE Team DefenseDF228.83715
IND Team DefenseDF229.07716
Lance DunbarRB230.17768
Blair WalshPK230.2713
Rob HouslerTE231.5731
MIN Team DefenseDF231.73717
DET Team DefenseDF233.07718
Niles PaulTE233.55732
Cordarrelle PattersonWR234.93772
Nick NovakPK235.23714
Marqise LeeWR235.37773
KC Team DefenseDF235.4719
Chandler CatanzaroPK236.4715
Ronnie HillmanRB237.97769
Phil DawsonPK240.97716
Caleb SturgisPK241.37717
Josh BrownPK243.43718
Randy BullockPK243.73719
Jacob TammeTE244.52733
Christine MichaelRB245.17770
Mark SanchezQB245.28730
Graham GanoPK246720
Greg ZuerleinPK247.37721
Lorenzo TaliaferroRB247.77771
Nick FolkPK248.57722
DAL Team DefenseDF248.93720
Nick ToonWR252.23774
Matt CasselQB253.33731
SF Team DefenseDF254.07721
Cecil ShortsWR254.27775
Khiry RobinsonRB254.87772
Markus WheatonWR255776
JAC Team DefenseDF255.37722
Mike NugentPK258.43723
Scott ChandlerTE258.77734
Andrew HawkinsWR258.77777
Andrew QuarlessTE259.03735
Stevan RidleyRB259.43773
Danny AmendolaWR260.33778
Corey FullerWR261779
TB Team DefenseDF261.1723
Greg JenningsWR262.4780
NYG Team DefenseDF262.87724
SD Team DefenseDF263.73725
PIT Team DefenseDF263.9726
Travaris CadetRB264.5774
Justin BlackmonWR265.7781
Sebastian JanikowskiPK266.1724
Virgil GreenTE266.79736
Allen HurnsWR267.87782
Justin HardyWR268.18783
Clive WalfordTE268.48737
Dustin HopkinsPK271.08725
Robbie GouldPK271.57726
NO Team DefenseDF272.07727
Trent RichardsonRB273775
Cairo SantosPK273.93727
Jonas GrayRB275.79776
Reggie WayneWR276784
Josh McCownQB276.24732
Tyler LockettWR276.32785
Kai ForbathPK276.93728
TEN Team DefenseDF278.34728
EJ ManuelQB278.86733
Jesse JamesTE279738
Ace SandersWR279786
Knowshon MorenoRB279.58777
Justin HunterWR279.68787
Patrick MurrayPK279.81729
Jeremy KerleyWR280788
Jeremy LangfordRB281.87778
Ryan SuccopPK282.41730
Stedman BaileyWR282.83789
Matt AsiataRB283.31779
E.J. ManuelQB283.5734
Dri ArcherRB283.8780
Josh ScobeePK283.96731
Shayne GrahamPK285.4732
Bilal PowellRB285.52781
Josh HuffWR285.62790
Marcedes LewisTE286.89739
ATL Team DefenseDF287.07729
C.J. FiedorowiczTE287.45740
Travis CoonsPK287.5733
Dennis PittaTE287.95741
Stepfan TaylorRB288782
Marquess WilsonWR289.44791
Robert TurbinRB289.57783
Josh MorganWR290792
Ricardo LocketteWR290793
Chris PolkRB290.09784
Benjamin WatsonTE290.29742
Robert WoodsWR290.79794
CHI Team DefenseDF291.17730
Mike DavisRB291.19785
Brian HoyerQB291.81735
Derek AndersonQB292736
Steven JacksonRB292786
Ray RiceRB292.5787
Daniel FellsTE293743
Dion SimsTE293.62744
WAS Team DefenseDF293.63731
Josh RobinsonRB294.21788
Ka'Deem CareyRB294.33789
Sammie CoatesWR294.79795
Tavon AustinWR294.9796
Chris JohnsonRB296.2790
Jacquizz RodgersRB296.62791
Tony MoeakiTE296.67745
Antone SmithRB297792
Brandon McManusPK297.29734
Ben TateRB297.44793
Andrew FranksPK298735
Jermaine KearseWR298797
Mike TolbertRB298.33794
OAK Team DefenseDF298.35732
Johnny ManzielQB298.75737
Tyrod TaylorQB298.8738
Ryan WilliamsRB299795
Garrett GrahamTE299.14746
Benny CunninghamRB299.15796
Carey SpearPK299.33736
Pierre ThomasRB299.37797
Crockett GillmoreTE299.38747
Donald BrownRB299.5798
Gavin EscobarTE299.97748
Darren FellsTE300749
Jeff JanisWR300.27798
Tim WrightTE300.67750
Zac StacyRB300.73799
Marlon BrownWR302.73799
Robert MeachemWR3037100
Chris ConleyWR303.257101
Nate WashingtonWR305.147102
Brian HartlineWR305.387103
Jimmy GaroppoloQB305.6739
Jerricho CotcheryWR305.677104
Joseph FauriaTE306751
Miles AustinWR306.367105
Devin SmithWR306.57106
Ryan MallettQB306.62740
Levine ToiloloTE306.91752
Brock OsweilerQB307741
Lache SeastrunkRB3077100
Bobby RaineyRB307.097101
Ryan FitzpatrickQB307.12742
Kamar AikenWR307.397107
Rashad GreeneWR307.577108
Anthony DixonRB3087102
Troy NiklasTE308.47753
Jordan TodmanRB308.677103
Harry DouglasWR308.687109
AJ McCarronQB309743
Drew StantonQB309744
Kenny BellWR309.297110
Bryce BrownRB309.757104
John KuhnRB3107105
Duron CarterWR3107111
Seantavius JonesWR3107112
Brent CelekTE310.36754
Thomas RawlsRB310.57106
Luke WillsonTE310.8755
Aaron DobsonWR311.157113
De'Anthony ThomasRB311.37107
Riley CooperWR311.337114
Brandon BoldenRB312.257108
Jermaine GreshamTE312.53756
Rod StreaterWR312.587115
Wes WelkerWR312.677116
Fred DavisTE313757
Jarius WrightWR313.357117
Taylor GabrielWR313.887118
Andre HolmesWR3147119
Brandon GibsonWR3147120
James JonesWR314.717121
Chris MatthewsWR314.787122
Stefon DiggsWR3157123
Zach HockerPK315.33737
Lance KendricksTE315.87758
Dontrelle InmanWR3167124
Kendall HunterRB316.87109
Terrelle PryorQB317745
Bruce EllingtonWR3177125
Paul RichardsonWR3177126
Quinton PattonWR317.57127
Andre RobertsWR3187128
Toby GerhartRB318.097110
Devin HesterWR318.57129
Hakeem NicksWR318.67130
Chris HoganWR319.57131
Philly BrownWR319.57132
Matt MooreQB320746
Tarvaris JacksonQB320747
Fozzy WhittakerRB320.57111
Devin StreetWR320.67133
Kirk CousinsQB320.67748
Zach MettenbergerQB321749
Jerome SimpsonWR3217134
Josh GordonWR3217135
Terrelle PryorWR3217136
Vick BallardRB3247112
Brandon ColemanWR3247137
Jamison CrowderWR3247138
Damien WilliamsRB324.57113
Silas ReddRB3257114
Tyler KroftTE325759
Stephen HillWR3257139
Brandon WeedenQB325.33750
Bruce GradkowskiQB325.5751
Scott TolzienQB326752
Dexter McClusterRB3267115
Marcel ReeceRB3267116
Leonard HankersonWR326.57140
Lance MooreWR3277141
Dwayne HarrisWR3287142
Darren WallerWR329.57143
Albert WilsonWR329.577144
Tim TebowQB330753
MyCole PruittTE330.33760
Chase DanielQB331754
Jay FeelyPK332738
Blaine GabbertQB332755
Shaun HillQB332756
Terrence MageeRB3327117
Jarrett BoykinWR3337145
Matt HasselbeckQB334757
Karlos WilliamsRB3347118
Dominique BrownRB3367119

 

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