Rankings

Tight End Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or bad – between their ADP rank and projected positional finish. Up next, tight ends.

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @Spidr2ybanana | Archive

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  1. Just say no to Teal Julius this year. Same projection as Witten? That's ridiculous....I would gladly bet money on Witten outproducing JT.

    Witten has a decade's worth of production in the 800-900 yard range, even having gone over 1000 four times. And he's only 33...not that old for a TE. He had one somewhat less productive season last year for a very obvious reason....the lower pass volume of the Dallas offense, which most seem to agree is likely to regress this year. Even worst case, something like 700 seems to be his floor.

    As for Teal Julius....I've got him as an incredibly one-dimensional player propped up by historic offenses. He wasn't ever even close to a focal point of the offenses anyway; he mostly just happened to be on the right end of a large share of Peyton Manning's 40-50 TDs a year. And now he's going to an absolute dumpster fire of an offense, where he's what, maybe the third option behind ARob and Yeldon? I really don't think he's capable of being a volume receiving TE in the Gates mold, and I don't think he's a good enough blocker to stay on the field all the time. 700 yards might be somewhere around his ceiling. And in terms of TDs....I just can't imagine the Jacksonville offense scoring many of them, even with the small improvements they've made this offseason. Dallas will score plenty, and a lot of them could come through the air without a clear GL back.

    I would give Teal Julius a look around the area of the draft where Jared Cook is going. I actually think Cook is a decent comparison both in terms of the profile of the offense and the profile of the player. But at an 8th/9th round ADP he's easy to avoid. I was actually thinking earlier that he belongs in the segment of "players to avoid in PPR," but all that being said, I've been wrong before.

  2. CK says:

    great comments. thanks for posting.

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