Quarterback Rankings: Overvalued / Undervalued

Using the Cheat Sheet Calculator and MFL10 ADP, I generated a set of players to target – and avoid. My criteria were simple. I searched for quarterbacks and tight ends drafted in the top 12 at their position, and running backs and wide receivers in the top 24. From there, I identified the three players at each position with the biggest discrepancy – either good or bad – between their ADP rank and projected positional finish. “Equity” represents the positive or negative difference between ADP and projection rank. Up first, quarterbacks.

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By Charles Kleinheksel | @Spidr2ybanana | Archive

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  1. Three main reasons I see to draft Kaep:

    1. Mean reversion on rushing tds.
    2. Torrey Smith probably has more big play potential than anyone they've had there except Vernon Davis
    3. Some small potential that they run more plays, which would be huge.
  2. I love these articles that have a negative bias towards Brees and Ryan because they help keep them on the board just long enough for me to draft them. Theye are the epitome of ultra safe, league winning qb's. These two guys just keep producing year after year, after year. Go ahead and draft Romo in front of them, you know he is just one hit in back away from a career ending injury. And Kap, he is a great best ball guy but in h2h leagues you can count on too many single digit point weeks from him.

  3. CK says:

    peyton is cheaper than he's been, but still very expensive overall.

    I still have Brees as a top-12 QB, but he's being drafted more like a top-6 QB.

    Ryan concerns me a bit, since after Julio there's not much in the way of reliable weapons.

    Sure, Romo could get hurt. But I also remember when Stafford was injury prone, and hasn't missed a game in years.

    Part of this depends on the number of leagues you're in. If only one, or a few, I'd be more included to go with a "safe" option. But if I'm playing many leagues, I'll stock up on a variety of lower drafted, more variable options.

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